inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 108 Excitement4.5 [920] MVPShane Battier (HOU): +8.7%
Denver Nuggets 97 Comeback1.1 [593] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -16.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.15-0.000.067107%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.01-0.093044%0.113-0.044100%0.01
Luther Head0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.11-0.000.081365%0.0300.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.031443%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kirk Snyder-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05442%0.022-0.03425%-0.02
Charles Hayes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01536%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02250%-0.011-0.024100%0.01
Juwan Howard-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.011946%0.013-0.0610%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.010.03968%0.051-0.021100%0.02
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07483%0.0200.004100%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03683%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03887%0.084-0.0800%0.00
Jamal Sampson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02217%-0.032-0.02250%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.031941%-0.023-0.05862%-0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.08-0.050.032847%-0.065-0.11887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.34.329.117.822.43.531.2133.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +18.9%
HOU +0.9%
HOU +21.4%
HOU +9.9%
DEN -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game14.514.115.4105.998.0104.5
season15.614.0103.6105.8
opponent15.315.7104.599.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU11.415.015.017.214.5
DEN16.411.715.013.414.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady67680.500.000.50-0.1221-103114.015.6-1.6014.313.60.76
Dikembe Mutombo72710.460.040.420.0514-31714.215.3-1.0614.513.11.39
Juwan Howard74700.450.050.390.0115-41913.916.1-2.2014.513.21.26
Shane Battier72700.430.070.360.0513-21514.115.7-1.6314.712.81.90
Rafer Alston60570.320.180.140.1274313.615.9-2.3515.012.92.16
Kirk Snyder40370.130.37-0.240.22-314-1715.513.91.5613.314.6-1.24
Jake Tsakalidis29270.080.42-0.340.17-314-1715.814.01.7913.214.4-1.26
Luther Head68660.080.42-0.350.22-516-2115.712.33.3812.916.6-3.71
Charles Hayes28290.050.45-0.390.17-415-1916.113.92.2013.214.5-1.26

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Sampson120.00-0.500.50-0.093-14176.014.2-8.1813.014.6-1.58
Eduardo Najera4952-0.06-0.440.390.09-5-6113.015.2-2.1815.613.42.18
Steve Blake6265-0.15-0.340.19-0.212-131513.215.7-2.5115.512.92.64
Linas Kleiza3841-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-111113.014.8-1.8316.013.52.51
Marcus Camby7272-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.20-4-7314.612.81.7714.016.0-2.01
Yakhouba Diawara3739-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-143-1715.913.02.8612.615.7-3.09
Carmelo Anthony8283-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.15-8-3-514.313.21.1214.315.8-1.52
Nene7273-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-110-1114.413.40.9514.414.9-0.49
Allen Iverson8283-0.550.05-0.60-0.02-187-2514.412.51.9714.215.9-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 110, ORL 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,095.7%
POR 118, ATL 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.4%
MIA 101, HOU 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,095.4%