NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	5.7 [703]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	1.2 [1198]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -13.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04	0.18	-0.08	0.06	27	63%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.10
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.09	-0.05	19	55%	0.19	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	62%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	71%	0.09	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.7	29.2	18.8	28.0	2.8	36.8	143.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.8%

DAL +19.9%

DAL +19.5%

CLE -6.2%

CLE -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.8	15.4	100.0	103.3	104.5
season	16.0	16.3		103.2	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		102.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	15.4	13.9	12.9	14.6
DAL	16.4	18.2	16.1	16.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	14	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	2	-7	13.1	14.8	-1.66	15.3	17.0	-1.77
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-3	3	14.0	14.9	-0.97	16.0	17.3	-1.35
Sasha Pavlovic	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-14	25	14.6	14.4	0.26	17.4	15.3	2.10
Drew Gooden	55	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	14.9	14.1	0.84	16.7	16.8	-0.02
David Wesley	22	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	14.4	14.6	-0.19	17.1	16.6	0.45
Daniel Gibson	57	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-5	7	14.8	14.2	0.62	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Anderson Varejao	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.9	16.6	0.25
Eric Snow	44	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	8	-19	14.4	14.7	-0.28	16.0	17.4	-1.35
Donyell Marshall	38	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.5	14.6	-0.05	17.7	16.1	1.60
LeBron James	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	14.7	13.9	0.82	16.9	16.3	0.56

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	73	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	0	3	16.7	16.9	-0.18	14.6	14.4	0.25
DeSagana Diop	43	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-9	21	16.7	16.8	-0.10	14.8	14.4	0.40
Josh Howard	75	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	4	-5	16.9	16.3	0.56	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Jason Terry	78	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	17.0	15.3	1.73	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Jerry Stackhouse	59	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	5	-7	17.0	16.2	0.79	14.6	14.4	0.25
Greg Buckner	26	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	-9	21	15.3	17.3	-1.96	16.2	13.8	2.39
Devin Harris	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	7	-11	16.6	16.8	-0.22	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Erick Dampier	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	9	-15	16.8	16.7	0.10	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Austin Croshere	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	0	3	16.7	16.8	-0.05	14.9	14.5	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.98,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 111, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	95.1%
WAS 83, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
OKC 94, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.6%