inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 83 Excitement4.9 [872] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +7.5%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback1.2 [1065] LVPLarry Hughes (WAS): -20.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kwame Brown0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.040.03970%0.091-0.02580%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00658%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Peeler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02450%0.0110.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Laron Profit0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00360%0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Jared Jeffries-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00362%0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Juan Dixon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.0220%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.031843%-0.063-0.036100%0.02
Antawn Jamison-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.011732%-0.121-0.01425%-0.05
Larry Hughes-0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.03-0.032226%-0.172-0.032100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.030.062365%0.101-0.021662%-0.06
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.02767%0.081-0.024100%0.02
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.03973%0.091-0.02475%-0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021348%0.041-0.02333%-0.02
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.031100%0.034-0.0600%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01543%-0.021-0.024100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.000.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.010.03850%-0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.829.315.734.01.830.2139.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.5%
MIA +4.7%
MIA +7.1%
MIA +0.2%
WAS -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game14.215.415.584.7109.3104.0
season14.715.7104.7107.9
opponent15.515.5101.1105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.913.914.713.214.2
MIA15.717.414.713.915.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Dixon16180.04-0.540.59-0.074-273112.314.5-2.2114.315.6-1.36
Laron Profit560.00-0.500.500.03-1-22219.214.4-5.2315.715.40.30
Michael Ruffin1111-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-222111.514.5-3.0515.715.30.39
Anthony Peeler3332-0.16-0.340.170.34-17-6-1113.314.6-1.3015.115.5-0.38
Jarvis Hayes4139-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-201714.214.20.0114.915.7-0.81
Kwame Brown4845-0.20-0.300.100.15-12-11-113.914.4-0.4414.915.8-0.92
Jared Jeffries4949-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-14514.713.61.1016.813.92.94
Brendan Haywood3941-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-10-13315.213.51.7315.815.10.78
Larry Hughes8078-0.47-0.03-0.430.24-241-2514.512.81.6315.813.81.91
Gilbert Arenas8079-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-19-4-1514.412.91.4915.116.4-1.31
Antawn Jamison8887-0.510.01-0.530.16-230-2314.313.21.0715.019.0-4.03

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal74760.57-0.070.64-0.1324-12515.315.6-0.2414.612.71.91
Damon Jones74750.410.090.32-0.121851315.215.8-0.5814.313.60.78
Rasual Butler62630.400.100.30-0.242212115.315.6-0.3413.814.7-0.90
Christian Laettner27270.320.180.140.031013-315.915.20.6514.913.90.95
Eddie Jones64670.310.190.11-0.10149515.914.41.5414.413.70.66
Udonis Haslem70710.180.32-0.14-0.201310315.215.9-0.6513.914.9-0.95
Dwyane Wade33340.170.33-0.16-0.06815-717.614.23.4214.613.90.74
Shandon Anderson30280.120.38-0.260.06221-1912.616.6-4.0314.114.2-0.13
Keyon Dooling28270.090.41-0.31-0.05518-1315.115.5-0.3413.414.5-1.09
Wang Zhi-zhi650.000.50-0.50-0.06221-1915.715.40.309.214.4-5.23
Michael Doleac1717-0.070.57-0.640.02-326-2915.515.30.1813.714.3-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, NJN 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%
NYK 77, DEN 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.3%
DET 111, BOS 1180.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,195.1%