NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	6.1 [611]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +23.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	2.2 [499]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	20	54%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.03
Rafael Araujo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	5	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.09	0.01	15	75%	0.28	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	9	71%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.02	18	52%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	33.0	14.4	24.5	2.4	42.4	141.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +48.4%

POR +1.7%

UTA -10.3%

POR +7.4%

POR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.4	106.4	112.0	104.5
season	15.9	16.7		107.4	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	15.6	18.3	14.2	15.8
POR	18.0	13.2	13.8	15.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafael Araujo	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-5	7	16.4	15.7	0.67	12.8	15.4	-2.63
Ronnie Brewer	31	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-6	9	16.5	15.5	0.93	15.2	15.1	0.09
Dee Brown	24	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	2	-7	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Matt Harpring	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-10	17	14.9	17.3	-2.37	14.7	15.9	-1.19
Paul Millsap	58	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.37	6	-9	15	15.4	16.6	-1.18	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Jarron Collins	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	6	-15	16.6	15.4	1.18	15.4	15.0	0.38
Derek Fisher	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.5	14.0	1.51
Gordan Giricek	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	8	-19	16.3	15.4	0.93	15.4	14.9	0.53
Andrei Kirilenko	56	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	3	-9	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Mehmet Okur	79	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.6	12.4	3.27

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	73	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	3	-3	15.6	13.2	2.49	15.5	17.4	-1.93
Zach Randolph	67	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	-2	7	15.5	14.2	1.22	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Dan Dickau	38	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-6	15	13.9	16.0	-2.15	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Ime Udoka	56	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	-1	5	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Jarrett Jack	54	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	1	1	14.9	15.4	-0.54	15.7	15.9	-0.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	52	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	2	-1	15.2	15.0	0.19	15.9	15.8	0.13
Joel Przybilla	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	1	1	15.1	15.2	-0.13	16.6	15.4	1.22
Travis Outlaw	32	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	7	-11	14.4	15.5	-1.16	15.7	15.9	-0.15
Martell Webster	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.17	-1	4	-5	14.6	15.4	-0.81	16.1	15.7	0.41
Juan Dixon	17	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	10	-17	14.9	15.2	-0.30	15.1	16.0	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, NOP 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 100, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.2%