NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	5.4 [724]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +7.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	1.6 [869]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -14.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	61%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.11	25	55%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	14	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	14	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	11	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	11	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.3	26.5	15.8	29.0	1.8	36.5	132.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +15.0%

NYK -5.2%

MIL +29.7%

MIL +11.7%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.5	109.9	118.9	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		102.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	16.3	18.1	12.5	15.7
MIL	16.9	15.7	17.0	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-7	7	13.7	16.2	-2.53	14.5	16.6	-2.04
Howard Eisley	47	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-10	13	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Othella Harrington	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	17.6	13.4	4.19	17.2	14.8	2.31
Latrell Sprewell	77	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	15.4	17.4	-2.05	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Charlie Ward	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	3	-13	15.9	15.5	0.40	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Allan Houston	75	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.7	1.14	16.4	14.9	1.47
Kurt Thomas	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	15.9	15.0	0.97	16.3	15.7	0.59
Shandon Anderson	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	14.2	17.2	-3.00	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Clar. Weatherspoon	40	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	2	-11	15.2	16.1	-0.88	17.2	15.3	1.85

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	54	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	17.9	13.6	4.30	16.3	14.8	1.42
Jason Caffey	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	6	-5	15.9	16.3	-0.38	13.7	17.3	-3.66
Ervin Johnson	31	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-1	9	17.0	15.7	1.32	17.6	14.6	3.05
Michael Redd	47	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	2	3	14.0	18.5	-4.55	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Toni Kukoc	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	2	3	15.8	16.5	-0.68	16.4	15.0	1.41
Anthony Mason	65	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	3	1	15.7	17.2	-1.42	15.8	15.5	0.26
Sam Cassell	63	66	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	5	-3	17.3	13.5	3.79	16.2	14.3	1.89
Tim Thomas	55	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	16.2	16.0	0.17	15.5	16.0	-0.44
Kevin Ollie	46	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	10	-13	15.2	17.1	-1.92	14.1	17.3	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 77, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.3%
UTA 100, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1	94.2%