inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 107 Excitement2.3 [1273] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +12.4%
New Jersey Nets 82 Comeback1.5 [1132] LVPMarcus Williams (NJN): -12.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.120,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.170.010.05984%0.131-0.017100%0.02
Manu Ginobili0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.02864%0.062-0.01683%0.01
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02383%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Tony Parker0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.000.041261%0.061-0.017100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.04837%0.0300.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.084100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jackie Butler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01667%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Brent Barry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03844%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Michael Finley-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.000.071062%-0.012-0.024100%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00450%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mile Ilic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Collins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00756%0.022-0.03250%-0.00
Josh Boone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.03650%-0.0200.004100%-0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.051255%-0.011-0.005100%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.000.04844%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.001453%0.004-0.04667%-0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.000.001432%-0.073-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.329.415.530.42.525.5127.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.7%
SAS +9.9%
NJN -1.1%
SAS +2.2%
NJN -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNJNNBASASNJNNBA
this game15.316.415.4117.690.1104.5
season16.215.4107.5103.1
opponent15.715.4103.898.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.612.115.018.915.3
NJN17.917.914.415.416.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili44440.490.010.48-0.3328-33113.716.8-3.1516.716.10.57
Robert Horry29290.450.050.39-0.292502515.115.4-0.3217.415.91.59
Bruce Bowen46460.410.090.32-0.06169713.916.7-2.8616.915.81.11
Tim Duncan57560.330.170.15-0.412502514.416.8-2.4117.314.82.54
Jacque Vaughn32330.300.200.10-0.5830-53515.715.10.6716.516.30.19
Tony Parker56550.200.30-0.100.11322-1914.716.2-1.4916.516.10.37
Michael Finley46460.190.31-0.110.02619-1315.914.71.1816.416.30.15
Francisco Elson51510.190.31-0.120.13223-2114.416.4-1.9916.116.6-0.51
Jackie Butler18190.000.50-0.500.00025-2519.114.44.7015.216.7-1.52
Beno Udrih13140.000.50-0.500.09-328-3121.814.27.5614.416.7-2.37
Fabricio Oberto99-0.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2319.814.84.9914.316.6-2.25
Brent Barry5453-0.050.55-0.610.18-833-4116.014.31.7115.217.9-2.68

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mile Ilic430.00-0.500.500.26-9-16714.716.4-1.6917.315.22.12
Bernard Robinson2222-0.01-0.480.470.16-6-191314.716.9-2.1618.814.24.66
Jason Collins3940-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-293316.616.20.3514.016.3-2.34
Hassan Adams2223-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-232115.516.6-1.1417.514.52.99
Antoine Wright3940-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-232116.516.30.2215.015.5-0.42
Mikki Moore5052-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-181116.516.20.2615.215.5-0.31
Josh Boone3130-0.25-0.250.000.07-11-14316.216.4-0.2616.214.91.31
Marcus Williams6969-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.353-283115.718.4-2.7014.717.0-2.32
Eddie House3938-0.33-0.17-0.160.55-305-3517.215.71.4715.615.10.55
Bostjan Nachbar4948-0.34-0.16-0.180.25-20-5-1515.717.1-1.4515.115.5-0.34
Vince Carter5960-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-18-7-1117.314.72.5814.416.9-2.50
Clifford Robinson3230-0.43-0.07-0.360.36-272-2917.615.71.9015.015.4-0.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 111, GSW 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
DAL 105, CHI 830.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
GSW 130, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%