NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	9.7 [89]		MVP	Derek Fisher (UTA): +37.7%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	20.7 [124]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -25.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.35	0.02	0.32	-0.01	7	56%	0.37	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	81%	0.18	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	66%	0.20	8	-0.23	11	82%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	0.02	-0.18	-0.00	21	59%	0.13	6	-0.29	7	86%	0.04
Stephon Marbury	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.38	0.38	0.07	0.30	-0.00	10	61%	0.38	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.21	0.00	22	58%	0.36	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.00	11	60%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.06
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.08	0.00	14	52%	0.16	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.06	1	0.01	4	25%	-0.06
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.03	-0.22	0.01	13	46%	-0.15	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	28.2	15.6	30.7	2.0	33.0	1.6	14.2	151.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.2%

NYK -24.1%

NYK -15.8%

UTA +40.0%

UTA +19.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.8	15.4	103.0	107.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.9		103.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.3	17.8	14.4	18.5	11.6	15.6
UTA	15.1	19.1	15.0	16.6	21.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	6	5	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-2	2	17.3	15.5	1.81	19.0	16.7	2.29
Jared Jeffries	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	15.9	15.6	0.31	20.1	16.4	3.68
Channing Frye	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-3	4	16.0	15.5	0.49	17.8	16.5	1.34
Jerome James	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	17.9	15.5	2.39	17.9	16.7	1.11
Steve Francis	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-7	12	14.2	16.5	-2.32	17.2	16.6	0.60
David Lee	78	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-6	10	15.2	17.4	-2.27	16.6	17.6	-0.95
Jamal Crawford	93	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	15.3	21.2	-5.89	16.4	21.7	-5.27
Quentin Richardson	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	15.7	15.5	0.18	16.7	17.3	-0.65
Stephon Marbury	83	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	8	-18	16.4	11.6	4.78	16.6	17.9	-1.33
Eddy Curry	75	73	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.45	-10	8	-18	15.9	14.8	1.12	16.6	17.5	-0.84

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	77	77	0.94	-0.45	1.39	0.45	17	-15	32	17.3	15.0	2.30	16.3	13.2	3.16
Derek Fisher	73	74	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.52	11	-9	20	18.1	13.0	5.03	16.0	14.5	1.55
Paul Millsap	67	70	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-6	14	17.0	16.4	0.66	16.0	14.7	1.34
Deron Williams	81	83	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	8	-14	16.1	20.4	-4.25	14.8	20.2	-5.43
Matt Harpring	55	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-3	8	16.6	17.1	-0.44	16.5	14.5	2.07
Gordan Giricek	28	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	1	0	16.5	17.0	-0.46	16.5	15.3	1.25
Rafael Araujo	6	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	9	-16	17.8	16.8	1.08	12.0	15.9	-3.87
Ronnie Brewer	12	13	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	4	-6	14.7	17.1	-2.37	17.1	15.4	1.66
Jarron Collins	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	12	-22	17.3	16.6	0.70	13.9	16.3	-2.40
Andrei Kirilenko	50	52	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.11	-9	11	-20	14.7	19.0	-4.30	15.1	16.2	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.19,0.21,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.81,0.63,0.91,0.98,1	92.0%
SEA 111, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.9,1,1	90.5%
GSW 105, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.96,1	89.8%