NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	111		Excitement	9.8 [65]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +47.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	9.9 [138]		LVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): -25.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.12	0.00	13	62%	0.22	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	10	57%	0.20	2	-0.14	3	100%	0.08
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.17	-0.11	0.04	30	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.18	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	10	41%	-0.14	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.29,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.14	0.35	0.02	17	67%	0.47	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	16	75%	0.27	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	21	57%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Felipe Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	59%	0.04	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.08
Reggie Slater	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.03	17	49%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.1	2.6	25.5	15.6	24.2	2.4	33.4	1.6	16.2	142.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +45.5%

SEA -1.9%

SEA -15.3%

MIN +15.9%

MIN +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.5	105.7	113.3	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		103.8	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.7		101.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	16.1	13.2	18.0	18.2	19.2	16.4
MIN	13.9	12.9	13.3	14.5	16.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	45	44	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.03	6	-14	20	17.5	15.7	1.78	14.4	13.4	0.94
Rashard Lewis	61	61	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-12	16	15.2	18.1	-2.91	13.4	14.4	-1.02
Patrick Ewing	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-9	10	17.2	16.0	1.20	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Ruben Patterson	55	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-7	6	15.5	17.5	-2.01	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Desmond Mason	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	17.6	13.2	4.36	14.2	12.9	1.23
Gary Payton	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	16.4	0.0	16.45	13.8	0.0	13.84
Shammond Williams	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	5	-18	16.0	17.2	-1.25	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Vin Baker	66	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	5	-18	16.0	17.2	-1.25	13.7	14.1	-0.46

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	0	8	13.6	14.4	-0.77	15.9	17.8	-1.97
Kevin Garnett	97	96	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	13.6	16.2	-2.61	16.3	17.6	-1.21
LaPhonso Ellis	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-1	10	14.0	13.7	0.29	15.9	17.3	-1.37
Terrell Brandon	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	13.8	14.2	-0.40	16.5	16.4	0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	91	92	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	13.9	13.4	0.47	17.1	11.8	5.25
Felipe Lopez	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	5	-2	15.4	13.7	1.66	26.0	15.8	10.23
Sam Mitchell	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	7	-6	13.4	13.9	-0.47	11.8	17.1	-5.25
William Avery	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	6	-4	14.2	13.8	0.40	16.4	16.5	-0.04
Dean Garrett	28	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	5	-2	13.7	13.9	-0.22	18.2	15.7	2.43
Reggie Slater	22	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	15	-22	14.6	13.6	0.95	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Chauncey Billups	24	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.08	-3	11	-14	14.0	13.8	0.26	15.5	16.7	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	91.9%
PHX 89, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.81,0.63,0.91,0.98,1	90.7%
NYK 102, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.19,0.21,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,1	90.5%