inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 116 Excitement7.9 [279] MVPIke Diogu (IND): +29.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Comeback3.5 [376] LVPStromile Swift (MEM): -7.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Diogu0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.110.16-0.021070%0.361-0.067100%0.08
Maceo Baston0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.00487%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.011664%0.254-0.17743%-0.06
David Harrison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00959%0.122-0.08475%0.02
Rawle Marshall0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.01237%0.031-0.02475%0.02
Shawne Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.040.02-0.06-0.011444%-0.0400.00425%-0.06
Jermaine O'Neal-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.02-0.002350%0.054-0.11475%-0.02
Jeff Foster-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00350%0.013-0.082100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.190.080.007100%0.2800.005100%0.02
Mike Miller0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.140.140.140.010.011668%0.222-0.08667%-0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.040.00861%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.050.050.06-0.010.012257%0.123-0.08967%-0.04
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.02856%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Alexander Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lawrence Roberts0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.01550%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.0010%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.01739%-0.041-0.03475%-0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.02-0.00333%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.92.528.316.524.62.332.7135.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +11.7%
IND +17.8%
IND +38.7%
MEM -15.9%
MEM -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMEMNBAINDMEMNBA
this game14.814.115.4117.2110.0104.5
season15.315.1101.3105.1
opponent15.115.3110.1103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.317.115.214.114.8
MEM13.314.913.115.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Diogu45460.80-0.301.110.3914-82215.114.60.5413.614.5-0.89
Mike Dunleavy87880.59-0.090.680.2711-51615.013.91.0514.114.4-0.35
Jamaal Tinsley71730.50-0.000.500.1811-51614.814.9-0.1313.815.0-1.27
Jermaine O'Neal71710.240.26-0.020.2406-614.914.60.3214.513.21.27
Rawle Marshall23230.220.28-0.060.1915-414.015.1-1.0915.113.81.27
Danny Granger83850.120.38-0.260.24-410-1415.113.21.8914.114.10.05
Darrell Armstrong31300.080.42-0.340.11-17-814.415.1-0.7013.914.2-0.25
David Harrison990.080.42-0.34-0.0133010.915.2-4.3414.714.10.61
Maceo Baston13120.000.50-0.49-0.0624-216.114.71.4313.214.2-0.98
Shawne Williams1011-0.000.50-0.50-0.0006-613.015.0-2.0414.814.00.80
Jeff Foster5252-0.130.63-0.770.07-713-2015.214.40.7514.214.00.17

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alexander Johnson760.11-0.610.72-0.014-101416.313.92.3412.715.0-2.31
Lawrence Roberts35370.09-0.590.680.032-81016.412.93.5715.314.60.69
Dahntay Jones60630.07-0.570.64-0.199-152413.415.1-1.6515.413.81.58
Damon Stoudamire4747-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-4212.915.2-2.2515.514.21.24
Stromile Swift3936-0.20-0.300.09-0.12-3-3013.014.8-1.7815.214.60.65
Brian Cardinal2221-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-60-612.214.7-2.4714.614.9-0.34
Rudy Gay4744-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.23-2-4215.113.31.8014.115.4-1.30
Hakim Warrick2424-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.24-4-2-212.714.5-1.7913.715.2-1.49
Pau Gasol7374-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.27-5-1-414.413.31.0615.014.20.80
Chucky Atkins5352-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.33-4-2-215.212.92.2514.215.5-1.24
Mike Miller9391-0.790.29-1.07-0.23-1913-3214.114.9-0.8014.815.4-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 125, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.25,0.28,0.06,0,091.9%
SAC 115, WAS 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,091.7%
POR 100, CHI 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.03,0,0,091.3%