NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	8.1 [184]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): +26.4%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	4.5 [141]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -19.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	18	55%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.02	0.03	10	81%	0.15	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	2	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.02	19	47%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	8	43%	-0.06	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	20	36%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Garcia	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	11	50%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.08	0.00	19	73%	0.39	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	82%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	23	36%	-0.10	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	3	37%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
John Wall	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.13	0.05	15	57%	-0.02	5	-0.18	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	29.3	16.8	29.4	1.8	26.0	131.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -7.8%

SAC +18.8%

SAC +7.3%

SAC +33.6%

WAS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.6	115.0	105.9	102.8
season	14.9	15.0		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	12.9	12.5	18.1	14.2
WAS	12.3	13.8	15.2	17.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	72	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-3	14	14.9	12.6	2.27	14.6	13.8	0.87
Marcus Thornton	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-3	14	14.7	12.9	1.85	14.6	13.8	0.87
Jason Thompson	85	87	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-3	14	14.2	14.5	-0.35	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Francisco Garcia	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-4	16	14.1	14.5	-0.42	15.1	12.9	2.20
Charles Hayes	38	38	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	0	8	16.0	13.1	2.88	16.7	13.1	3.59
DeMarcus Cousins	62	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	8	-8	13.1	16.0	-2.88	13.1	16.7	-3.59
JJ Hickson	15	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	11	-14	14.5	14.2	0.35	15.6	14.2	1.42
Jimmer Fredette	28	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	11	-14	12.6	14.9	-2.27	13.8	14.6	-0.87
Tyreke Evans	57	57	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	15	-22	13.8	14.9	-1.13	13.3	15.9	-2.57

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.20	8	-16	24	14.4	14.4	-0.01	15.4	13.8	1.60
Chris Singleton	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-7	6	13.3	14.9	-1.62	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Rashard Lewis	68	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-13	18	13.4	16.6	-3.25	13.1	16.5	-3.42
Jan Vesely	3	2	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-6	4	19.0	14.3	4.72	11.5	14.3	-2.80
Kevin Seraphin	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-13	18	14.4	14.4	0.03	15.9	12.9	3.08
Shelvin Mack	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	17.2	13.7	3.53	13.5	14.4	-0.88
John Wall	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	13.7	17.2	-3.53	14.4	13.5	0.88
JaVale McGee	57	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	5	-18	14.4	14.4	-0.03	12.9	15.9	-3.08
Trevor Booker	30	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	3	-14	16.4	13.6	2.78	16.8	13.0	3.78
Jordan Crawford	68	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	0	-8	14.9	13.4	1.56	14.6	13.6	0.99
Nick Young	76	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	7	-22	14.4	14.4	0.02	13.8	15.3	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 125, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.25,0.28,0.06,0,0	92.7%
NJN 105, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.6,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	92.2%
MIL 105, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.05,0	92.2%