NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.9 [637]		MVP	Chris Webber (DET): +13.4%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.1 [1094]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -10.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	4	37%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	17	52%	0.06	2	-0.02	16	75%	-0.02
Ike Diogu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	13	58%	0.05	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	13	46%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	14	55%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.07
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	19	44%	0.04	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	16	51%	0.11	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	33.8	18.8	31.0	3.4	37.6	155.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +1.0%

DET +23.2%

DET +6.4%

DET +10.7%

DET +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	18.7	15.4	101.2	109.2	104.5
season	15.3	16.8		101.3	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	14.8	13.4	13.2	14.6
DET	18.9	16.5	19.9	19.5	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rawle Marshall	36	35	0.56	-1.06	1.63	-0.17	25	-33	58	12.7	16.0	-3.33	18.1	19.0	-0.92
Darrell Armstrong	29	30	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-14	20	13.5	15.2	-1.69	17.8	19.1	-1.32
Jeff Foster	43	41	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.28	13	-21	34	15.2	14.0	1.12	17.8	19.5	-1.68
Ike Diogu	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	16.6	14.4	2.23	18.5	18.7	-0.18
Shawne Williams	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	17.0	14.2	2.78	17.0	18.9	-1.93
Jermaine O'Neal	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	13.9	19.7	-5.87	18.9	16.9	2.03
Danny Granger	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	-1	-6	14.5	15.4	-0.90	18.9	16.9	2.01
Jamaal Tinsley	61	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	4	-16	14.5	14.9	-0.44	18.8	18.4	0.43
Troy Murphy	46	49	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.10	-27	19	-46	15.0	14.2	0.76	19.2	17.9	1.28
Mike Dunleavy	44	47	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	0.09	-34	26	-60	16.6	12.5	4.16	19.3	18.0	1.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	49	49	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.14	24	-16	40	19.1	18.1	1.09	15.2	13.8	1.49
Richard Hamilton	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-8	24	18.8	17.7	1.01	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Chauncey Billups	75	74	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.31	14	-6	20	18.3	21.0	-2.71	14.4	16.1	-1.72
Tayshaun Prince	70	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-9	26	18.7	18.6	0.10	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Rasheed Wallace	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-3	14	19.1	18.0	1.05	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Antonio McDyess	40	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	18.9	18.4	0.48	15.3	14.1	1.17
Jason Maxiell	16	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	16	-24	18.8	18.6	0.18	14.7	14.6	0.15
Dale Davis	12	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	22	-36	16.2	19.1	-2.80	12.1	15.0	-2.93
Carlos Delfino	22	20	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	19	-30	18.0	18.9	-0.89	15.0	14.5	0.52
Lindsey Hunter	17	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	18	-28	19.0	18.6	0.41	16.0	14.3	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 83, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1	93.7%
OKC 99, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.93,0.91,1,1	93.3%
ATL 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.76,0.96,0.98,0.92,1	93.1%