inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement6.9 [459] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +26.9%
Orlando Magic 90 Comeback7.5 [59] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -12.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.270,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.23,0.270.190.110.032370%0.443-0.171090%0.05
Josh Childress0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.080.080.010.01686%0.141-0.06250%-0.01
Lorenzen Wright0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.030.001100%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Josh Smith0.020,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02-0.010.050.021957%0.135-0.114100%0.03
Tyronn Lue0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01570%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salim Stoudamire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.00560%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Shelden Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Solomon Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00125%-0.021-0.04250%-0.02
Marvin Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.01333%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.002100%0.0900.00250%-0.02
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.030.060.00667%0.131-0.0500%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.011070%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00458%0.082-0.09475%0.02
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.0210%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001155%0.044-0.0900%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.1-0.100.01-0.090.01662%-0.012-0.09450%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1-0.100.00-0.080.021258%-0.023-0.0900%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.11-0.011050%-0.063-0.061850%-0.34
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.33.330.115.826.23.341.4144.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +13.1%
ATL +24.2%
ATL +14.8%
ORL -4.7%
ATL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLORLNBAATLORLNBA
this game16.917.415.4110.7107.1104.5
season16.115.9101.1103.4
opponent15.715.3103.0106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.617.216.117.616.9
ORL16.917.919.116.017.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams39410.98-0.481.470.4020-173718.615.43.1916.718.0-1.31
Joe Johnson78790.72-0.220.940.3413-102316.916.80.0517.713.44.26
Josh Smith70710.70-0.200.900.4110-71716.916.80.1117.516.80.75
Josh Childress67670.400.100.310.4003-315.821.3-5.5317.616.51.10
Shelden Williams29280.090.41-0.310.33-811-1915.217.8-2.6116.617.8-1.25
Zaza Pachulia40410.070.43-0.350.16-36-915.218.4-3.1618.116.81.31
Royal Ivey010.030.47-0.430.0303-30.016.9-16.882.017.6-15.59
Lorenzen Wright43420.020.48-0.47-0.0112-118.615.13.4417.517.40.10
Slava Medvedenko76-0.080.58-0.66-0.02-25-716.416.9-0.4915.817.5-1.69
Solomon Jones66-0.100.60-0.70-0.07-14-514.317.1-2.7418.217.30.82
Tyronn Lue3231-0.120.62-0.750.02-58-1319.415.34.1318.117.01.05
Salim Stoudamire97-0.220.72-0.940.07-1013-2315.417.1-1.6114.317.7-3.40

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo30290.19-0.690.88-0.1311-142517.717.30.4117.616.51.13
Keith Bogans38400.11-0.610.71-0.138-111918.416.51.9015.717.9-2.21
JJ Redick12110.02-0.520.55-0.011-4517.717.40.3113.817.3-3.52
Tony Battie4546-0.04-0.460.41-0.226-91518.016.71.2318.415.13.29
Hedo Turkoglu6867-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-6916.919.4-2.4317.315.12.28
Dwight Howard6970-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.16-96-1517.516.90.6616.817.5-0.74
Darko Milicic5352-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.41-30-317.118.0-0.9415.718.7-3.02
Jameer Nelson5555-0.720.22-0.94-0.31-1411-2517.018.2-1.2316.517.6-1.13
Grant Hill5050-0.850.35-1.20-0.32-1815-3317.217.7-0.5617.915.42.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.32,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 96, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.46,0.15,0.08,090.9%
HOU 87, GSW 860.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.05,090.3%
UTA 92, BKN 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.04,090.2%