NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	9.7 [90]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +23.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	3.8 [515]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -19.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	12	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.16	-0.08	0.02	19	73%	0.21	3	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	2	-0.08	3	0%	-0.13
Stephen Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.13,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	5	40%	0.07	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	18	39%	-0.03	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	22	67%	0.36	5	-0.13	19	84%	0.07
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.09	0.22	-0.01	10	33%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Brian Cook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.01	4	77%	0.02	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.10
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	6	69%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	14	44%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.0	29.2	16.4	27.1	2.7	38.2	138.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -6.7%

LAL +20.4%

LAL +20.9%

LAL +14.7%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	12.5	14.6	15.4	97.2	100.9	104.5
season	13.5	15.3		105.7	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	12.3	12.0	13.9	12.5
LAL	13.5	15.3	15.2	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	62	64	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-14	23	12.7	12.1	0.61	14.5	14.7	-0.27
Baron Davis	81	81	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-15	25	12.6	12.2	0.36	15.0	13.3	1.60
Kelenna Azubuike	10	9	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.13	2	-7	9	9.7	12.8	-3.06	11.8	14.8	-3.04
Monta Ellis	61	62	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.33	14	-19	33	12.0	13.1	-1.11	15.4	13.5	1.89
Adonal Foyle	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	11.7	12.6	-0.85	11.5	14.9	-3.46
Josh Powell	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	0	-5	11.1	13.0	-1.90	16.5	13.9	2.62
Al Harrington	94	96	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	5	-15	12.7	10.9	1.75	14.8	12.2	2.65
Mickael Pietrus	84	83	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.38	-13	8	-21	12.8	11.4	1.40	14.1	16.0	-1.86
Stephen Jackson	77	79	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.42	-12	7	-19	12.8	11.7	1.03	14.2	15.6	-1.47
Sarunas Jasikevicius	23	23	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.34	-16	11	-27	13.2	12.3	0.90	13.3	14.9	-1.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	33	33	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.53	9	-4	13	15.9	13.9	1.99	11.2	13.1	-1.87
Kobe Bryant	87	86	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-2	9	13.9	17.2	-3.31	13.0	10.1	2.86
Luke Walton	70	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-4	13	14.1	15.5	-1.46	13.6	10.5	3.09
Smush Parker	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-3	11	14.3	15.1	-0.75	13.4	10.2	3.17
Brian Cook	48	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-6	17	13.9	15.1	-1.21	11.8	13.1	-1.35
Maurice Evans	61	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	3	-1	14.8	14.2	0.56	12.4	12.5	-0.09
Sasha Vujacic	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	6	-7	16.9	13.8	3.06	10.9	13.0	-2.15
Jordan Farmar	31	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	8	-11	15.1	14.3	0.75	10.2	13.4	-3.17
Andrew Bynum	73	71	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	5	-5	13.8	16.1	-2.28	13.2	11.0	2.24
Vladimir Radmanovic	29	29	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.09	-17	22	-39	16.3	13.9	2.45	10.8	13.1	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.43,0.32,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	90.7%
UTA 96, NOP 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	90.6%
ORL 94, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.55,0.4,0.68,0.55,0.47,0.58,1	90.1%