NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	8.7 [151]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +21.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	5.8 [196]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -23.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.12	0.01	14	69%	0.33	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.02	16	54%	0.22	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.06
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.07	0.02	-0.11	-0.03	15	47%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.15	0.03	8	65%	0.09	6	-0.32	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.10	0.03	21	49%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	0.00	10	70%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	66%	0.23	4	-0.17	13	69%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.11	-0.02	17	42%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.11	2	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	37.6	13.8	27.2	2.8	39.3	149.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.2%

ORL -11.7%

MEM +23.8%

MEM +7.6%

ORL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MEM	NBA	ORL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.3	102.2	106.5	106.0
season	15.4	15.4		110.1	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.6	13.1	16.1	16.7	15.5
MEM	16.1	14.0	16.6	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	13	13	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-13	21	12.5	16.0	-3.54	15.8	15.6	0.16
Matt Barnes	52	53	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-11	17	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.8	15.3	0.50
Brandon Bass	6	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-6	7	19.3	15.2	4.10	18.4	15.4	3.02
Jason Williams	42	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	15.4	15.6	-0.18	15.9	15.5	0.39
JJ Redick	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-7	9	15.0	15.8	-0.84	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Mickael Pietrus	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	15.8	15.3	0.50	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Marcin Gortat	13	12	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	4	-13	12.6	16.0	-3.36	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Dwight Howard	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-5	5	15.8	11.9	3.97	16.0	11.5	4.52
Jameer Nelson	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	0	-5	15.6	15.4	0.18	15.7	15.5	0.25
Vince Carter	60	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	5	-15	15.6	15.3	0.34	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Rashard Lewis	73	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.35	-14	9	-23	15.7	14.6	1.09	15.3	16.7	-1.36

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	84	84	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-10	25	15.1	20.8	-5.69	15.5	15.1	0.41
Marc Gasol	78	77	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.34	14	-9	23	15.2	17.7	-2.42	15.9	13.6	2.27
Mike Conley	74	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-7	19	15.2	17.5	-2.31	14.9	17.8	-2.94
Rudy Gay	80	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-5	15	15.7	15.4	0.29	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Zach Randolph	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-2	9	15.9	13.7	2.26	14.9	19.3	-4.43
DeMarre Carroll	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	13.7	15.9	-2.26	19.3	14.9	4.43
Jamaal Tinsley	19	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	12	-19	17.5	15.2	2.31	17.8	14.9	2.94
Hasheem Thabeet	15	15	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	14	-23	17.7	15.2	2.42	13.6	15.9	-2.27
Sam Young	22	22	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.09	-15	20	-35	17.6	15.0	2.56	16.3	15.3	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.55,0.4,0.68,0.55,0.47,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	91.1%
MEM 80, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,1	90.8%
ATL 75, ORL 79	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.58,1	90.6%