NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	9.2 [123]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +41.3%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	6.2 [221]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -24.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.47,0.41,0.41	0.20	0.23	0.03	17	79%	0.45	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24	0.11	0.17	0.04	16	61%	0.27	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Justin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	0	50%	0.00	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	4	50%	0.09	2	-0.24	2	50%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	15	33%	-0.11	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	15	33%	-0.25	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.17	-0.00	9	62%	0.27	0	0.00	6	83%	0.08
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,0.18	0.18	-0.09	0.28	0.01	11	38%	0.25	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	11	71%	0.22	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	16	68%	0.28	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.07
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.04	11	77%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	9	32%	-0.07	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	28.2	16.8	24.4	2.4	38.2	139.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.9%

NYK +32.1%

SAC -6.4%

NYK +14.5%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.4	101.0	106.2	104.5
season	14.7	15.7		104.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.1	13.2	16.4	16.0	15.3
NYK	17.3	13.0	14.9	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	28	28	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-13	21	16.9	14.7	2.20	14.8	14.6	0.17
Francisco Garcia	12	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.10	-3	-2	-1	16.4	15.1	1.27	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	82	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-16	27	14.7	19.4	-4.72	15.5	10.1	5.33
Ronnie Price	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-2	-1	0.0	15.5	-15.46	9.0	14.8	-5.76
Justin Williams	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	16.6	15.0	1.66	15.0	14.6	0.44
Kenny Thomas	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	13.7	15.9	-2.28	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Quincy Douby	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	4	-13	16.8	15.2	1.63	10.0	15.0	-5.01
Mike Bibby	71	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-9	13	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Kevin Martin	90	90	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.49	6	-11	17	15.2	16.8	-1.63	15.0	10.0	5.01
John Salmons	30	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	3	-11	16.0	15.0	1.06	15.0	14.6	0.40
Corliss Williamson	29	29	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	9	-23	15.4	15.3	0.16	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Metta World Peace	84	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	4	-13	15.7	12.2	3.49	14.9	13.2	1.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	81	84	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.44	14	-9	23	14.3	16.9	-2.65	15.6	13.5	2.06
Jamal Crawford	69	70	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-10	25	14.3	15.6	-1.24	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Stephon Marbury	77	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	1	3	15.4	11.8	3.63	15.7	13.7	2.02
David Lee	54	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-4	13	14.5	15.0	-0.45	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Channing Frye	45	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	4	-3	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.4	15.2	0.27
Quentin Richardson	69	69	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	9	-13	14.6	15.0	-0.37	14.5	17.3	-2.83
Jared Jeffries	41	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	15	-25	14.4	14.9	-0.45	15.3	15.3	0.08
Renaldo Balkman	44	42	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.14	-4	9	-13	15.1	14.3	0.81	15.9	14.8	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.25,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.33,0.42,1	90.9%
NYK 84, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.29,1	90.2%
MIN 93, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	89.8%