NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	8.8 [167]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +79.7%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	14.1 [128]		LVP	Ben Wallace (CHI): -13.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.64	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.64	0.07	0.56	-0.00	14	57%	0.65	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.11,0.29	0.06	0.24	0.01	20	55%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.17	-0.03	0.20	-0.00	7	50%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.13	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	19	54%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	11	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.32,0.47,0.5,0.8	0.80	0.19	0.59	-0.02	25	64%	0.85	3	-0.05	14	93%	0.14
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	30.4	14.7	25.2	2.4	36.4	133.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.6%

CHI -22.5%

CHI -5.6%

PHX +32.5%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.4	100.0	97.0	104.5
season	13.8	14.5		112.2	103.1
opponent	15.9	16.0		98.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	14.3	13.4	15.0	14.2
CHI	14.6	14.0	15.4	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	73	75	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.48	8	-7	15	14.5	13.0	1.49	15.4	14.5	0.94
Boris Diaw	60	59	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.78	-3	4	-7	13.6	15.1	-1.48	15.8	14.3	1.57
Shawn Marion	90	92	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-5	11	14.2	14.1	0.02	15.4	13.0	2.38
Leandro Barbosa	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	2	-3	14.6	13.3	1.27	14.2	17.4	-3.24
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	-2	5	14.1	14.4	-0.30	14.6	17.4	-2.81
James Jones	27	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	2	-3	13.5	14.4	-0.90	16.6	14.7	1.86
Marcus Banks	16	14	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	-3	7	13.9	14.2	-0.27	20.1	14.4	5.66
Kurt Thomas	8	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	10	-19	16.7	13.9	2.82	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Raja Bell	72	77	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.29	-2	3	-5	14.0	14.8	-0.80	14.5	17.7	-3.18

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	74	73	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.00	12	-13	25	14.5	17.4	-2.93	14.3	13.7	0.61
Thabo Sefolosha	43	43	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.08	5	-6	11	15.2	15.2	-0.00	13.7	14.6	-0.92
P.J. Brown	12	12	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-3	5	13.5	15.4	-1.95	16.6	13.8	2.76
Tyrus Thomas	12	12	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-3	5	13.5	15.4	-1.95	16.6	13.8	2.76
Malik Allen	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	16.4	15.0	1.39	14.9	14.0	0.87
Ben Wallace	71	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-5	9	15.2	15.1	0.10	13.6	15.6	-2.03
Chris Duhon	64	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.58	0	-1	1	15.6	14.5	1.17	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Luol Deng	92	90	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	5	-11	15.4	13.0	2.38	14.2	14.1	0.02
Ben Gordon	77	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	4	-9	14.9	16.1	-1.19	14.0	14.6	-0.55
Adrian Griffin	34	33	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.67	-12	11	-23	16.8	14.4	2.41	14.7	13.9	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.92,0	91.4%
TOR 98, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,0	90.9%
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	90.9%