NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	8.3 [226]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (IND): +26.5%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	4.8 [100]		LVP	Ronald Murray (DET): -7.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.27	-0.06	0.32	0.00	1	25%	0.34	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	22	46%	0.18	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	65%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.09
Marquis Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Maceo Baston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	0.00	17	39%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,0.14	0.14	-0.05	0.16	-0.03	18	50%	0.33	4	-0.19	8	100%	0.19
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	19	52%	0.22	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	15	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Will Blalock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.0	29.0	15.8	26.8	2.6	39.5	143.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +3.1%

IND +31.5%

DET -18.4%

IND +34.9%

DET -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.4	98.9	98.9	104.5
season	15.3	16.8		101.3	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	15.4	14.7	14.2	14.6
DET	15.3	18.9	16.6	14.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	75	74	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.67	9	-8	17	14.2	16.1	-1.92	16.7	14.3	2.48
Jeff Foster	60	61	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.22	24	-23	47	14.7	14.3	0.39	17.8	13.2	4.55
Jamaal Tinsley	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.41	10	-9	19	14.3	15.2	-0.91	16.5	15.4	1.14
Al Harrington	72	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-13	27	15.3	12.2	3.06	16.3	16.1	0.13
Sarunas Jasikevicius	17	15	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	2	-3	14.5	14.6	-0.13	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Stephen Jackson	50	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	2	-3	14.2	15.0	-0.71	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Darrell Armstrong	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	6	-11	12.8	14.9	-2.12	11.5	17.2	-5.69
Marquis Daniels	39	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.24	-2	3	-5	14.9	14.4	0.51	17.4	15.4	1.99
Maceo Baston	20	19	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.11	-17	18	-35	14.8	14.5	0.29	15.4	16.4	-1.02
Danny Granger	51	49	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	0.29	-26	27	-53	14.9	14.2	0.67	15.0	17.7	-2.70

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	32	33	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.31	19	-20	39	14.6	17.1	-2.50	15.6	14.0	1.54
Jason Maxiell	51	51	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.42	17	-18	35	15.5	17.1	-1.65	16.2	12.6	3.59
Carlos Delfino	46	48	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-7	13	15.5	17.0	-1.50	13.7	15.5	-1.73
Dale Davis	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-5	9	17.3	15.9	1.42	15.7	14.2	1.43
Ronald Murray	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-4	7	14.0	17.0	-2.97	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Will Blalock	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	3	-7	15.9	16.3	-0.45	16.1	14.3	1.76
Chauncey Billups	76	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-2	3	16.8	13.8	3.02	14.8	13.5	1.28
Richard Hamilton	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-4	7	16.5	15.7	0.74	13.9	15.9	-2.00
Tayshaun Prince	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	3	-7	15.9	16.9	-1.03	15.0	13.7	1.29
Nazr Mohammed	34	33	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	21	-43	18.6	14.9	3.75	13.7	15.0	-1.35
Rasheed Wallace	42	41	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	0.01	-26	25	-51	17.2	15.4	1.78	13.1	15.7	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.01,0,0	90.7%
CHI 108, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.02,0	90.1%
ATL 94, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	89.8%