NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	4.4 [955]		MVP	Randy Foye (MIN): +45.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.2 [677]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -9.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.15	0.09	0.14	0.08	16	64%	0.20	4	-0.05	10	100%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	15	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.04	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	16	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Chris Duhon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.46	0.46	0.07	0.37	-0.01	17	61%	0.51	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	82%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	83%	0.08	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	19	52%	0.02	2	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	40%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	6	27%	-0.02	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	158.2	2.5	31.4	15.8	27.4	2.4	42.3	279.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +50.5%

CHI -7.6%

MIN +16.6%

CHI -11.5%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	12.4	15.9	15.4	98.0	97.1	104.5
season	14.5	15.4		103.1	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	13.4	11.5	9.2	12.4
MIN	15.6	13.7	16.2	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	59	62	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.42	21	-23	44	11.3	13.9	-2.58	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Tyrus Thomas	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-6	10	9.3	12.7	-3.35	18.8	15.6	3.17
Malik Allen	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	14.0	12.2	1.78	13.4	16.2	-2.82
Thabo Sefolosha	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.43	11	-13	24	10.8	13.9	-3.19	17.0	14.9	2.02
P.J. Brown	15	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	13.3	12.2	1.12	13.4	16.4	-3.04
Michael Sweetney	10	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	7	-16	13.5	12.3	1.24	13.5	16.2	-2.78
Ben Wallace	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	8	-18	13.7	10.5	3.16	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Luol Deng	87	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-8	14	12.1	14.0	-1.86	16.3	13.6	2.74
Kirk Hinrich	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	12.2	12.9	-0.68	16.1	15.3	0.85
Andres Nocioni	74	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	6	-14	12.6	11.7	0.88	16.1	15.6	0.44
Chris Duhon	52	52	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	15	-32	13.7	11.0	2.73	15.4	16.5	-1.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.22	23	-21	44	14.6	18.0	-3.46	13.3	10.9	2.35
Kevin Garnett	73	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	0	2	17.1	13.1	4.01	13.2	10.6	2.59
Trenton Hassell	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	16.2	15.2	1.00	13.1	10.6	2.51
Mark Blount	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-8	18	15.7	16.3	-0.66	13.8	10.2	3.57
Mike James	68	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	1	0	16.9	14.0	2.90	12.9	11.3	1.65
Marko Jaric	65	62	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.52	-11	13	-24	15.8	16.2	-0.47	11.0	14.7	-3.72
Craig Smith	36	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	-1	4	15.6	16.1	-0.59	10.4	13.4	-3.07
Randy Foye	60	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.68	-19	21	-40	16.2	15.5	0.74	10.2	15.1	-4.84
Justin Reed	6	6	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	1	0	15.3	16.0	-0.65	11.5	12.4	-0.94
Mark Madsen	13	11	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	11.2	16.6	-5.39	12.3	12.4	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.84,0.86,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.7%
ORL 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1	95.6%
DEN 71, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%