NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	144		Excitement	11.7 [26]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +73.4%
Phoenix Suns	139		Comeback	16.4 [49]		LVP	Raja Bell (PHX): -17.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.73	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.16,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.73	0.29	0.45	0.01	37	67%	0.85	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.10
Caron Butler	0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.26,0.29	0.11	0.18	0.01	24	60%	0.33	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	12	75%	0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	5	57%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.34,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.09	0.04	25	71%	0.49	5	-0.24	9	78%	0.11
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.00	-0.01	18	61%	0.15	0	0.00	10	80%	0.06
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	11	63%	0.21	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	57%	0.22	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	16	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	12	25%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	26.2	19.4	25.5	2.6	40.0	1.5	20.1	161.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +71.9%

WAS +0.6%

PHX -43.9%

WAS +23.5%

PHX -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	15.4	125.2	119.8	104.5
season	14.8	13.8		107.8	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.3		105.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.0	14.0	15.7	14.5	10.1	14.1
PHX	14.2	13.7	12.0	13.2	14.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	46	45	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.73	5	0	5	14.2	14.0	0.22	13.8	13.3	0.50
Caron Butler	96	97	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-5	15	13.7	16.0	-2.29	13.5	13.2	0.28
Gilbert Arenas	103	104	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-7	19	13.9	15.6	-1.67	13.5	13.1	0.41
DeShawn Stevenson	91	92	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	13.9	14.8	-0.94	13.3	14.0	-0.64
Antawn Jamison	114	114	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	14.0	20.0	-5.96	13.6	6.0	7.58
Calvin Booth	6	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	5	-5	16.7	13.9	2.72	13.5	13.4	0.06
Brendan Haywood	73	74	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.36	1	4	-3	14.4	13.6	0.81	13.7	13.1	0.59
Antonio Daniels	46	46	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	18	-31	14.8	13.6	1.27	12.5	14.0	-1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	74	72	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.06	6	-11	17	12.9	14.5	-1.61	14.1	14.0	0.14
Jumaine Jones	20	20	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.15	12	-17	29	15.6	13.0	2.66	15.9	13.7	2.19
Kurt Thomas	37	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-6	7	14.9	12.8	2.16	14.3	14.0	0.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	1	-7	12.9	14.1	-1.24	13.0	15.3	-2.29
Boris Diaw	100	100	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	13.9	10.9	2.99	14.7	9.9	4.85
Steve Nash	94	93	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	4	-13	13.1	15.1	-2.03	14.0	14.6	-0.68
Shawn Marion	103	101	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	12	-29	13.2	15.3	-2.09	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Raja Bell	90	89	-1.08	0.58	-1.66	-0.67	-14	9	-23	13.4	13.5	-0.02	13.9	14.6	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.66,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 117, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.09,0	88.8%
DAL 115, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	88.4%
CHI 108, NOH 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.17,0	88.0%