NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	10.5 [58]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +46.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	8.2 [139]		LVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): -17.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.47	0.05	0.42	0.00	6	69%	0.49	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.25,-0.31,-0.24,-0.16,-0.05,0.07	-0.06	0.08	-0.05	23	48%	0.27	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.10
Jorge Garbajosa	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Fred Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.01	10	52%	-0.10	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,0.18	0.18	-0.00	0.20	0.01	14	62%	0.40	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	10	45%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	10	62%	0.11	3	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.00	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	0.00	8	67%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	8	22%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	1.8	30.1	15.4	27.3	1.8	35.8	0.8	16.2	158.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.2%

POR -14.9%

POR -20.6%

TOR +32.4%

TOR +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	16.6	15.4	99.0	98.0	104.5
season	15.2	16.7		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	12.7	14.4	14.8	16.0	16.2	14.6
POR	16.6	15.6	15.9	18.2	17.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Garbajosa	77	76	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.67	1	0	1	15.5	11.7	3.85	16.7	16.3	0.32
Fred Jones	63	62	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	-3	7	13.9	15.7	-1.75	16.5	16.7	-0.14
T.J. Ford	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.55	2	-1	3	14.3	15.4	-1.06	16.2	17.8	-1.62
Anthony Parker	89	88	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-4	9	14.6	14.7	-0.12	16.6	16.4	0.19
Rasho Nesterovic	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	-5	11	14.6	14.5	0.07	17.9	14.2	3.70
Andrea Bargnani	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	-4	9	12.9	15.8	-2.87	15.6	17.3	-1.67
Joey Graham	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	5	-9	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Kris Humphries	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	2	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.89	13.3	16.9	-3.57
Jose Calderon	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	2	-3	15.4	14.3	1.06	17.8	16.2	1.62
Morris Peterson	27	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	4	-7	15.7	14.2	1.47	17.6	16.2	1.45
PJ Tucker	10	9	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.10	-9	10	-19	15.0	14.5	0.46	14.2	16.8	-2.59

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	59	58	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.34	-1	0	-1	16.6	16.5	0.09	15.8	13.0	2.71
Martell Webster	45	43	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.12	3	-4	7	15.9	17.1	-1.25	15.0	14.3	0.71
Juan Dixon	48	51	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-10	19	17.0	16.2	0.78	15.4	13.8	1.61
Sergio Rodriguez	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	4.0	16.7	-12.71	0.0	14.6	-14.59
Raef LaFrentz	22	21	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	3	-7	17.8	16.2	1.57	13.1	15.0	-1.88
Zach Randolph	50	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-3	5	17.8	15.4	2.46	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Ime Udoka	43	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-4	7	17.2	16.2	1.03	13.3	15.5	-2.17
Brandon Roy	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-1	1	16.0	18.5	-2.50	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Joel Przybilla	25	24	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	0	-1	16.3	16.7	-0.41	15.1	14.4	0.65
Travis Outlaw	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	3	-7	16.1	17.8	-1.76	14.6	14.5	0.13
Jarrett Jack	67	67	-0.98	0.48	-1.47	-0.63	-12	11	-23	16.6	16.7	-0.10	14.3	15.1	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	88.8%
TOR 99, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.66,0.41,0	88.1%
WAS 99, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.67,0.58,0	87.5%