NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	10.7 [43]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +19.3%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	5.3 [151]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -45.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	22	52%	0.20	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Juan Dixon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.03
Jahidi White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	20	52%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Christian Laettner	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	18	44%	0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	6	58%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.01	15	72%	0.27	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	-0.21	0.09	-0.30	-0.01	22	64%	0.12	3	-0.32	12	92%	0.07
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.21	-0.21	0.01	-0.22	0.00	9	50%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.18,-0.26,-0.45	-0.45	-0.25	-0.21	-0.00	16	19%	-0.35	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	29.4	17.7	24.2	3.7	37.0	3.7	13.3	156.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.4%

BOS -22.2%

WAS +5.3%

WAS +3.1%

WAS +15.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.5	104.2	102.1	101.6
season	16.5	15.6		100.9	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	18.0	14.9	18.7	19.4	16.8	17.6
BOS	12.8	17.2	15.6	15.8	20.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	89	90	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.56	0	1	-1	17.7	16.5	1.16	15.2	22.8	-7.59
Jerry Stackhouse	85	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-2	5	17.3	19.7	-2.36	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Tyronn Lue	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.56	-2	3	-5	18.3	15.1	3.20	15.2	17.6	-2.37
Michael Jordan	83	84	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.47	-9	10	-19	18.1	13.8	4.30	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Bobby Simmons	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-4	9	17.3	18.0	-0.71	16.2	15.1	1.12
Kwame Brown	50	51	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	-2	5	17.4	17.8	-0.40	15.8	15.6	0.14
Jahidi White	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	0	1	18.5	17.5	1.04	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Juan Dixon	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	-2	5	14.8	18.4	-3.61	17.6	15.2	2.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	51	51	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-9	17	14.8	16.7	-1.87	18.8	16.2	2.66
Mark Blount	33	32	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-7	13	14.5	16.3	-1.83	17.7	17.5	0.19
Tony Battie	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	2	-5	15.9	15.6	0.29	17.3	17.8	-0.41
J.R. Bremer	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	7	-15	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.8	18.7	-2.87
Walter McCarty	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	3	-7	16.1	15.0	1.05	17.3	18.1	-0.81
Kedrick Brown	8	8	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	10	-21	20.2	15.3	4.94	10.5	18.2	-7.74
Eric Williams	53	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-5	9	15.3	16.2	-0.93	18.8	16.1	2.69
Paul Pierce	92	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-5	9	15.3	24.2	-8.90	18.0	10.6	7.38
Antoine Walker	89	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.49	1	-2	3	15.6	17.1	-1.54	17.5	18.1	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 116, CLE 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.85,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.84,0	88.4%
DET 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.73,0	88.0%
PHI 108, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0	88.0%