NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	83		Excitement	6.9 [456]		MVP	Travis Diener (ORL): +24.6%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	2.5 [719]		LVP	Darko Milicic (ORL): -16.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	14	49%	0.07	2	-0.04	11	82%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	46%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	14	53%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	12	39%	-0.05	4	-0.08	12	67%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.15	-0.03	8	72%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	13	64%	0.22	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	7	84%	0.25	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	6	22%	-0.06	3	-0.10	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.4	32.3	17.8	29.4	2.6	38.3	150.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.9%

NOK -11.0%

ORL +14.8%

NOK -3.5%

ORL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	ORL	NBA	NOK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.8	15.4	96.5	96.6	104.5
season	16.0	15.9		102.8	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.0	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.0	13.6	15.1	21.2	16.1
ORL	13.5	14.7	19.9	21.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	20	20	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.09	11	-14	25	12.7	17.1	-4.36	14.2	17.6	-3.37
Linton Johnson	12	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-9	15	13.3	16.5	-3.21	16.4	16.9	-0.54
Marc Jackson	41	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-5	7	16.2	16.0	0.20	15.6	18.0	-2.32
Jannero Pargo	61	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.66	17	-20	37	15.5	17.5	-1.96	16.5	17.5	-1.00
Hilton Armstrong	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	7	-17	17.2	15.7	1.50	18.3	16.2	2.05
Tyson Chandler	52	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	11	-25	16.3	15.8	0.54	16.6	17.1	-0.46
Chris Paul	76	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	3	-9	16.4	13.4	3.05	17.1	15.0	2.06
Desmond Mason	78	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	4	-11	16.1	15.7	0.38	16.9	15.6	1.39
Rasual Butler	65	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	11	-25	17.1	13.1	3.97	17.9	13.8	4.08

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	23	21	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	2	-1	19.6	15.8	3.72	18.2	15.4	2.84
Trevor Ariza	49	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.11	19	-16	35	16.8	16.9	-0.12	17.5	14.2	3.29
Keyon Dooling	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.68	-12	15	-27	18.0	15.7	2.31	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Travis Diener	57	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.51	-7	10	-17	16.6	17.1	-0.44	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Grant Hill	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	-2	7	17.0	16.3	0.62	15.8	17.0	-1.28
Carlos Arroyo	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-5	13	15.5	18.1	-2.58	15.9	16.3	-0.47
Darko Milicic	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	12	-21	17.0	16.6	0.47	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Dwight Howard	63	62	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-2	7	17.0	16.4	0.55	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Tony Battie	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-2	7	16.0	17.7	-1.72	15.5	16.8	-1.31
Pat Garrity	8	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	12.0	17.3	-5.28	16.3	16.1	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	92.2%
HOU 70, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	91.8%
CHI 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,1	91.8%