NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	9.4 [104]		MVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): +45.0%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	5.5 [79]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -28.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.45,0.45	0.15	0.31	0.01	19	64%	0.49	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Delonte West	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.13	-0.02	8	76%	0.24	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.04
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	39%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.35,-0.35,-0.05	-0.13	0.07	-0.01	18	37%	0.12	3	-0.17	10	90%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Allen	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	5	38%	0.02	3	-0.17	3	33%	-0.06
Sebastian Telfair	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	6	0%	-0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	16	53%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.11	-0.01	7	75%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.08	-0.03	17	47%	0.09	2	-0.16	6	50%	-0.11
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	12	55%	0.04	4	-0.15	7	100%	0.06
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	11	20%	-0.26	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	33.2	15.5	31.2	2.8	36.8	144.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.7%

BOS +31.7%

NJN -29.4%

BOS +12.8%

BOS +12.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.4	104.5	100.0	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	13.8	21.7	17.2	16.9
NJN	13.8	16.9	14.3	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	26	28	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.75	6	-4	10	15.7	17.4	-1.69	17.0	14.8	2.25
Delonte West	59	61	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-16	34	16.9	16.9	-0.02	15.8	14.8	1.03
Al Jefferson	70	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-12	26	16.6	17.9	-1.33	16.1	13.0	3.11
Paul Pierce	71	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.65	-4	6	-10	16.8	17.3	-0.51	15.2	16.8	-1.68
Sebastian Telfair	53	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.57	-12	14	-26	16.0	18.2	-2.18	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Rajon Rondo	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.27	14	-12	26	16.6	17.0	-0.35	17.0	15.0	2.09
Gerald Green	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	8	-14	18.8	14.8	3.97	13.8	17.3	-3.49
Brian Scalabrine	40	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.26	2	0	2	16.2	17.5	-1.26	15.9	15.2	0.69
Ryan Gomes	54	54	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	0.10	-22	24	-46	17.8	15.4	2.36	14.7	16.7	-1.96

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	46	47	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	15.8	15.1	0.73	15.8	18.1	-2.36
Mikki Moore	23	22	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	1	-4	15.7	15.4	0.34	19.3	16.1	3.18
Nenad Krstic	59	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-13	24	15.8	15.0	0.79	15.7	19.3	-3.62
Antoine Wright	45	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-3	4	15.8	15.2	0.62	16.5	17.3	-0.83
Hassan Adams	19	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	15.8	15.4	0.38	17.0	16.9	0.14
Marcus Williams	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	8	-18	15.7	15.4	0.33	18.0	16.4	1.58
Richard Jefferson	69	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	2	-6	14.8	17.7	-2.84	17.7	14.3	3.42
Eddie House	23	23	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	9	-20	14.6	15.8	-1.24	18.3	16.4	1.86
Jason Kidd	65	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.71	2	-4	6	15.7	15.0	0.62	16.5	18.1	-1.63
Vince Carter	73	73	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.82	3	-5	8	15.4	16.0	-0.63	16.8	17.1	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, VAN 98	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.04,0	89.5%
LAL 103, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	88.6%
DET 92, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	88.6%