inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 101 Excitement4.5 [914] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +20.7%
Denver Nuggets 121 Comeback1.4 [1065] LVPStephen Jackson (IND): -12.4%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.03-0.011962%0.182-0.05250%-0.00
Danny Granger0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02658%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rawle Marshall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.011361%0.084-0.08729%-0.07
Marquis Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00662%0.023-0.03475%0.00
Al Harrington-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.011551%0.023-0.06580%-0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.02470%0.025-0.072100%0.01
Jeff Foster-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.041231%-0.051-0.002100%0.01
Maceo Baston-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.13-0.01-0.07325%-0.024-0.04650%-0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.0150%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.130.04-0.032562%0.263-0.051173%-0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.180.020.04986%0.1600.004100%0.02
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.04850%0.0700.00250%-0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00669%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.04-0.00-0.021062%0.102-0.05475%0.01
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02750%0.0110.00475%0.00
Jamal Sampson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.010.011142%-0.021-0.022100%-0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03631%-0.012-0.04425%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.430.315.330.52.430.3134.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +35.9%
DEN +6.8%
IND -12.6%
DEN +21.1%
IND -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDENNBAINDDENNBA
this game14.413.515.498.1116.3104.5
season15.314.0101.3105.8
opponent15.315.3104.5103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.016.212.913.414.4
DEN13.212.114.314.313.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Powell1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-202014.514.30.2112.713.6-0.91
Rawle Marshall1516-0.00-0.500.490.05-2-181614.014.4-0.4213.013.6-0.56
Darrell Armstrong88-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-171414.414.40.0217.213.24.09
Al Harrington5151-0.07-0.430.35-0.02-2-181613.515.2-1.7214.212.81.42
Maceo Baston3640-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-12413.015.1-2.0913.613.40.17
Sarunas Jasikevicius4949-0.22-0.280.070.16-13-7-612.815.8-3.0214.612.52.12
Marquis Daniels4141-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-10-10013.315.1-1.8113.613.40.27
Jamaal Tinsley6161-0.28-0.21-0.07-0.11-6-14815.213.22.0112.614.7-2.13
Stephen Jackson5454-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-9-215.912.63.3312.015.0-2.98
Jeff Foster6463-0.34-0.16-0.170.07-14-6-815.113.21.9413.613.30.33
Jermaine O'Neal7775-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-8-414.513.90.6313.214.1-0.83
Danny Granger4850-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-19-1-1814.913.90.9314.013.00.94

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby74730.360.140.21-0.081551013.014.7-1.7314.813.41.35
Andre Miller76770.340.160.18-0.01128412.516.0-3.5115.012.52.49
Carmelo Anthony74730.340.160.17-0.01128414.012.21.8314.514.10.37
Earl Boykins46450.320.180.15-0.151641214.412.71.6513.115.4-2.30
Reggie Evans41410.300.200.09-0.09137614.712.72.0813.714.8-1.04
Yakhouba Diawara54530.270.230.04-0.201641214.812.02.7913.715.0-1.28
J.R. Smith50500.230.27-0.040.11416-1212.014.8-2.7915.013.71.28
Eduardo Najera50490.230.27-0.050.05614-812.514.3-1.7915.613.32.27
Linas Kleiza37380.120.38-0.26-0.14911-214.213.01.2013.115.1-1.99
DerMarr Johnson12110.000.50-0.500.00020-2012.713.6-0.9114.514.30.21
Jamal Sampson650.000.50-0.500.09-323-2614.013.40.5611.614.5-2.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 73, MEM 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
CHA 90, MIA 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
GSW 95, LAL 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%