inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 90 Excitement3.6 [1104] MVPDamon Jones (MIA): +9.2%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback1.3 [1033] LVPJahidi White (CHA): -5.6%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Hart0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.02878%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Theron Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04390%0.0200.004100%0.01
Jason Kapono-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.001041%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Emeka Okafor-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.041247%-0.0100.001242%-0.05
Melvin Ely-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.051136%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Kareem Rush-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.041145%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.01540%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01650%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Primoz Brezec-0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02933%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jahidi White-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01438%-0.0610.00520%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.01875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.004100%0.082-0.022100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.01-0.081352%0.073-0.04540%-0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.041446%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.06583%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.04765%0.0100.00333%-0.02
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00167%0.0000.00450%-0.02
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04470%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.011662%0.063-0.071040%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.531.60.825.31.826.5115.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.8%
CHA -3.7%
MIA +2.1%
CHA -3.8%
MIA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game15.915.415.597.8122.8104.0
season15.515.799.0107.9
opponent15.515.1101.1105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA18.315.514.315.915.9
MIA14.414.515.816.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono32360.02-0.520.53-0.011-242515.516.2-0.6416.314.71.56
Primoz Brezec4241-0.08-0.420.330.00-3-201716.115.80.2315.215.5-0.30
Jahidi White2426-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-181316.815.61.2015.815.20.57
Keith Bogans4143-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-211915.316.5-1.1316.314.61.68
Theron Smith3838-0.17-0.330.160.33-17-6-1116.115.90.1815.315.4-0.03
Brevin Knight4546-0.19-0.310.110.10-10-13315.416.5-1.1115.015.7-0.63
Melvin Ely3027-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-171116.915.51.4215.715.20.54
Jason Hart4849-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-13-10-316.515.31.2015.715.00.72
Gerald Wallace4441-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-11-115.316.5-1.2514.815.8-1.00
Kareem Rush5149-0.37-0.13-0.240.25-21-2-1916.515.31.1314.616.3-1.68
Emeka Okafor6564-0.580.08-0.660.21-274-3115.616.7-1.0214.916.3-1.38

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones78770.54-0.040.58-0.021941515.812.63.2015.717.1-1.34
Damon Jones62610.490.010.49-0.2425-22714.816.5-1.6416.215.40.84
Dwyane Wade73740.460.040.42-0.182212115.215.8-0.6116.712.74.01
Christian Laettner41410.380.120.26-0.09167916.314.61.6817.514.72.83
Udonis Haslem64620.310.190.120.05914-515.714.70.9815.317.3-2.01
Shaquille O'Neal43460.120.38-0.26-0.06617-1115.615.20.3716.015.80.20
Michael Doleac24240.100.40-0.30-0.191013-314.015.8-1.7816.115.90.19
Wang Zhi-zhi12110.090.41-0.32-0.06518-1312.515.8-3.2913.116.3-3.24
Keyon Dooling30310.010.49-0.490.07-225-2716.514.81.6415.416.2-0.84
Shandon Anderson660.000.50-0.50-0.12419-159.815.7-5.9113.816.1-2.26
Rasual Butler2727-0.000.50-0.51-0.03122-2115.515.30.2314.916.4-1.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 84, CLE 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
WAS 88, SAS 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
LAL 92, ATL 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%