NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	10.6 [53]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +44.4%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	9.6 [177]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -33.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.44	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.44	0.07	0.38	0.01	14	63%	0.46	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.03,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.13	0.00	18	50%	0.24	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	64%	0.15	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.05
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	17	61%	0.15	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.07,-0.07	0.11	-0.17	0.01	15	66%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.18

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.24	-0.00	18	65%	0.40	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	0.01	12	67%	0.19	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	26	53%	0.13	5	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.07	0.02	14	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	5	40%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.34	-0.34	-0.00	-0.33	0.00	8	68%	0.18	5	-0.52	3	33%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	28.2	16.7	26.2	2.5	34.3	131.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.2%

GSW -20.3%

GSW -18.8%

PHX +51.0%

GSW -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	15.4	108.7	102.8	104.5
season	13.8	13.5		112.2	105.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		105.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	14.9	13.2	13.7	13.7
GSW	13.2	12.3	15.0	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	80	81	1.22	-0.72	1.94	0.43	27	-24	51	12.8	16.7	-3.99	14.2	11.7	2.49
Shawn Marion	87	90	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.33	25	-22	47	13.2	16.2	-2.98	13.9	12.3	1.57
Raja Bell	83	85	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.55	5	-2	7	13.5	14.4	-0.87	13.6	13.7	-0.08
Boris Diaw	74	77	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	7	-11	13.6	14.0	-0.40	13.9	13.0	0.90
James Jones	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.43	-11	14	-25	14.4	13.0	1.45	12.8	14.4	-1.61
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-3	9	13.1	14.2	-1.05	14.4	12.9	1.56
Kurt Thomas	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	13.7	13.7	0.01	13.0	13.7	-0.70
Marcus Banks	11	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	12	-21	16.4	13.4	3.00	11.7	13.9	-2.19
Jalen Rose	10	10	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	14	-25	17.0	13.3	3.67	10.8	13.9	-3.11
Leandro Barbosa	63	65	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	16	-29	14.7	12.1	2.66	13.2	14.3	-1.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	98	96	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.11	3	-6	9	13.5	14.7	-1.15	13.9	10.5	3.45
Keith McLeod	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	4	-11	14.4	13.5	0.90	10.6	13.9	-3.31
Troy Murphy	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-2	1	13.0	13.8	-0.80	13.7	13.7	-0.04
Mike Dunleavy	85	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.49	11	-14	25	13.5	14.1	-0.65	13.9	12.7	1.21
Matt Barnes	41	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-5	7	13.6	13.6	-0.05	14.4	13.2	1.16
Anthony Roberson	19	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	2	-7	14.3	13.5	0.79	13.4	13.7	-0.35
Andris Biedrins	83	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	13.8	13.0	0.80	13.7	13.7	0.04
Mickael Pietrus	100	96	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-3	3	13.6	14.4	-0.87	13.9	11.2	2.64
Jason Richardson	76	75	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.53	-16	13	-29	13.7	13.4	0.37	12.8	15.9	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.62,0.54,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.45,0.31,0	87.9%
DAL 116, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.53,0	87.7%
LAL 129, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.84,0	87.6%