NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	100		Excitement	7.7 [319]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (NJN): +23.8%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	2.0 [371]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -16.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.10	0.00	6	100%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	22	55%	0.20	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	14	53%	0.13	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.06
Hassan Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mile Ilic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	44%	0.07	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Antoine Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	13	64%	0.22	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	13	44%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	15	53%	0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	16	46%	-0.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	11	27%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.1	15.5	27.4	2.3	34.6	131.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +10.4%

NJN +35.8%

IND -2.4%

NJN +5.6%

NJN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.4	107.5	96.8	104.5
season	15.4	15.3		103.1	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	16.8	17.1	14.1	15.9
IND	14.3	14.5	16.3	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	55	56	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	4	1	16.2	15.5	0.71	15.3	14.4	0.92
Jason Kidd	75	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	1	7	16.2	14.6	1.66	15.3	13.1	2.23
Vince Carter	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	0	9	16.0	15.2	0.83	15.0	14.5	0.50
Marcus Williams	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.20	16	-7	23	14.9	16.5	-1.57	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Clifford Robinson	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	15.7	16.1	-0.40	15.2	14.5	0.65
Bostjan Nachbar	61	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	11	-13	15.1	17.4	-2.26	13.9	16.8	-2.88
Nenad Krstic	66	67	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	6	-3	16.1	15.3	0.84	14.5	15.9	-1.31
Mikki Moore	7	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	6	-3	16.6	15.8	0.73	16.8	14.8	2.05
Antoine Wright	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	17.1	15.4	1.71	16.4	14.3	2.12
Hassan Adams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	9.0	16.0	-6.97	4.0	15.0	-11.03
Mile Ilic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	9.0	16.0	-6.97	4.0	15.0	-11.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	59	57	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-14	19	14.3	16.0	-1.73	16.2	15.4	0.73
Maceo Baston	10	9	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-16	23	14.5	15.0	-0.46	16.6	15.8	0.73
Darrell Armstrong	15	15	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-7	5	14.7	14.9	-0.22	13.1	16.4	-3.37
Rawle Marshall	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	10.5	15.0	-4.51	20.0	15.8	4.15
Stephen Jackson	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-7	5	15.1	14.7	0.47	17.1	14.7	2.41
Sarunas Jasikevicius	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-3	-3	17.4	14.8	2.62	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Jermaine O'Neal	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	15.3	14.0	1.27	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	14.1	17.1	-3.04	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Jamaal Tinsley	77	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	14.5	17.0	-2.55	16.1	15.0	1.09
Danny Granger	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	4	-17	15.5	12.7	2.80	15.7	16.8	-1.07
Al Harrington	47	48	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.33	-18	9	-27	16.1	13.7	2.34	15.9	15.9	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	92.6%
GSW 108, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.01,0,0	92.2%
CLE 109, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0	91.9%