NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	5.0 [835]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +37.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	111		Comeback	1.1 [758]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -13.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.36	0.07	0.31	0.02	9	74%	0.39	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	20	70%	0.24	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.06
Deron Williams	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.00	16	71%	0.16	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	-0.08	9	15%	-0.07	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.37	0.37	0.37	0.19	0.19	32	70%	0.42	3	-0.04	17	88%	-0.10
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	8	47%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.01	0.07	9	90%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	12	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	28.4	15.4	29.4	2.4	39.3	141.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.0%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +15.5%

MIL -4.2%

UTA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	15.4	116.5	111.0	104.5
season	15.9	15.2		107.4	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	16.3	14.4	19.0	15.9
MIL	15.2	15.0	12.3	11.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	88	91	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	15.6	19.0	-3.42	13.5	11.8	1.76
Matt Harpring	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-5	12	15.4	16.5	-1.11	13.3	13.5	-0.25
Jarron Collins	30	31	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-14	30	14.6	16.5	-1.93	14.5	12.9	1.69
Carlos Boozer	75	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	8	-14	16.1	15.2	0.92	13.3	13.5	-0.13
Dee Brown	14	15	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	-4	10	10.4	16.8	-6.47	12.1	13.6	-1.47
Paul Millsap	52	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	4	-6	16.7	14.9	1.80	13.0	13.8	-0.84
CJ Miles	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	0	2	16.6	15.3	1.31	14.2	12.8	1.48
Derek Fisher	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	-2	6	16.2	15.8	0.39	12.3	13.9	-1.58
Andrei Kirilenko	18	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-5	12	15.3	16.0	-0.76	18.0	12.2	5.84
Mehmet Okur	71	74	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.65	-19	21	-40	16.9	13.1	3.80	12.6	15.6	-3.02
Ronnie Brewer	6	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	9	-16	17.8	15.8	2.06	8.4	13.8	-5.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	14.6	13.2	1.39	17.1	15.7	1.36
Dan Gadzuric	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	7	-16	15.5	13.0	2.45	14.3	16.2	-1.93
Charlie Villanueva	43	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-3	4	13.8	13.0	0.80	16.2	15.7	0.52
Ruben Patterson	68	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-9	16	13.6	12.9	0.70	16.4	14.6	1.86
Brian Skinner	42	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.37	6	-8	14	12.2	14.2	-2.01	17.2	15.1	2.10
Mo Williams	60	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-4	6	13.9	12.5	1.43	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Charlie Bell	49	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-1	0	12.4	14.3	-1.95	16.0	15.8	0.11
Steve Blake	37	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	10	-22	12.7	13.8	-1.12	16.1	15.8	0.25
Andrew Bogut	76	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	4	-10	13.5	13.0	0.45	15.0	19.0	-3.95
Michael Redd	96	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	13.4	13.7	-0.39	16.0	14.4	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 106, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	96.0%
MIN 103, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.9%
HOU 114, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%