NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	5.1 [800]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +13.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	96		Comeback	1.2 [1025]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -17.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.02	0.06	10	65%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	48%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.04	0.04	8	73%	0.05	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	0.02	4	25%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.02	0.07	13	80%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	14	60%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	19	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.00	10	43%	0.03	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	28.6	15.8	24.5	2.4	33.4	129.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +2.6%

CHA +1.9%

CHA +21.2%

CHA +23.4%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.6	93.5	105.5	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		104.1	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	15.5	14.7	13.8	15.0
CHA	16.0	16.5	17.4	16.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	60	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-11	12	15.4	14.2	1.18	16.9	15.8	1.08
Shavlik Randolph	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-10	10	15.0	14.9	0.06	17.0	16.4	0.56
Matt Barnes	19	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	11.4	15.9	-4.52	13.7	17.3	-3.56
Lou Williams	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-8	6	14.1	15.1	-1.06	18.1	16.2	1.84
Willie Green	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.3	13.1	3.22	17.0	15.8	1.22
John Salmons	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	14.8	15.4	-0.61	16.4	17.1	-0.73
Kyle Korver	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	14.5	15.9	-1.38	16.3	17.0	-0.78
Michael Bradley	20	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.0	14.9	0.06	16.7	16.5	0.22
Steven Hunter	57	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	15.0	14.8	0.21	16.7	16.3	0.39
Andre Iguodala	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	15.2	13.9	1.22	16.4	17.3	-0.90

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	59	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-3	16	16.2	17.2	-0.97	15.5	13.9	1.57
Matt Carroll	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	16.0	19.8	-3.78	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Raymond Felton	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	17.0	14.1	2.82	15.6	11.6	3.91
Jumaine Jones	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-1	12	16.2	16.9	-0.68	15.6	14.3	1.27
Primoz Brezec	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-1	12	16.1	17.0	-0.89	15.7	14.2	1.52
Gerald Wallace	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	16.6	16.4	0.17	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Jake Voskuhl	40	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	10	-10	17.9	15.5	2.40	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Kevin Burleson	27	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	8	-6	16.9	16.4	0.46	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Lonny Baxter	16	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	18	-26	16.4	16.5	-0.11	12.7	15.4	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHA 94, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.8%