NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	9.7 [96]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +31.1%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	9.8 [64]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -31.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.09	0.23	0.00	17	61%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.01	12	86%	0.34	6	-0.15	4	75%	-0.03
Malik Allen	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.28,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	14	52%	0.22	3	-0.21	22	77%	-0.06
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Luke Schenscher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.07	-0.09	0.06	10	60%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	90%	-0.05
Chris Duhon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.01	0.25	-0.00	15	58%	0.38	4	-0.12	8	50%	0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.18	-0.06	0.08	11	84%	0.22	4	-0.17	16	87%	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.12	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.04	6	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.17	0.01	13	47%	-0.15	7	-0.16	6	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	2.0	25.3	16.6	30.2	2.3	38.5	2.5	22.2	168.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +61.2%

ORL -15.6%

CHI +4.2%

CHI +9.8%

ORL -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	13.2	17.2	15.6	111.5	106.7	104.4
season	14.4	16.4		102.6	104.4
opponent	15.7	16.1		105.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.1	13.6	12.8	14.3	8.4	13.2
ORL	15.5	17.7	17.7	20.9	13.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	38	37	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.39	16	-12	28	10.5	14.7	-4.22	18.2	16.7	1.55
Luol Deng	81	79	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-3	10	12.8	14.5	-1.69	17.6	16.0	1.61
Kirk Hinrich	81	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	1	2	12.9	14.1	-1.19	16.8	18.6	-1.79
Andres Nocioni	74	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.49	2	2	0	13.0	13.6	-0.56	16.7	18.6	-1.95
Chris Duhon	48	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	-8	20	13.2	13.2	-0.03	19.6	15.3	4.24
Ben Gordon	76	79	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	6	-8	12.6	14.7	-2.07	16.8	18.3	-1.46
Eric Piatkowski	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	2	0	16.3	13.1	3.22	12.7	17.3	-4.68
Luke Schenscher	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	3	-2	15.6	12.8	2.74	14.1	17.7	-3.58
Michael Sweetney	4	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	18.2	13.0	5.25	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Jannero Pargo	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	6	-8	16.8	12.6	4.14	15.9	17.4	-1.48
Tyson Chandler	49	52	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	10	-16	13.9	12.6	1.35	17.8	16.6	1.26
Othella Harrington	38	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	14	-24	14.8	12.3	2.50	16.3	17.7	-1.44

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	17	16	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-15	26	17.2	17.2	-0.04	15.9	12.7	3.16
Trevor Ariza	24	24	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.04	5	-9	14	19.0	16.7	2.27	14.3	12.9	1.47
Darko Milicic	35	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-5	6	18.4	16.6	1.74	14.0	12.8	1.22
Jameer Nelson	70	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-2	0	16.7	18.3	-1.57	13.1	13.3	-0.17
Tony Battie	46	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	4	-12	18.1	16.5	1.56	13.3	13.1	0.25
Carlos Arroyo	35	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-2	0	18.3	16.7	1.57	13.3	13.1	0.17
Hedo Turkoglu	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	16.8	19.2	-2.36	13.4	12.4	0.92
DeShawn Stevenson	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	4	-12	16.1	18.9	-2.82	12.1	14.8	-2.74
Keyon Dooling	61	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-3	2	17.5	16.9	0.60	13.0	13.4	-0.39
Dwight Howard	86	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	7	-18	16.8	18.9	-2.06	12.7	15.4	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.72,0.71,0.47,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 109, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.03,0.08,0	88.2%
BKN 107, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.09,0.01,0	88.0%
MIA 92, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.17,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.14,0.15,0	88.0%