NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Miami Heat	92		Excitement	10.2 [40]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +31.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	17.0 [59]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -41.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32	0.06	0.25	-0.01	20	57%	0.42	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	11	57%	0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	14	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.18	6	83%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.00	14	56%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.04	0.00	12	43%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	16	34%	-0.15	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.08	-0.27	-0.01	10	29%	-0.29	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.42	-0.42	-0.12	-0.30	-0.01	21	37%	-0.37	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	27.2	20.7	25.1	1.8	34.1	1.6	19.2	157.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +93.8%

MIA +18.1%

POR -55.2%

POR -15.6%

MIA +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	POR	NBA	MIA	POR	NBA
this game	17.4	16.8	15.6	98.9	96.8	102.3
season	16.5	16.0		96.6	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.2	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	18.3	15.9	18.1	17.4	17.1	17.4
POR	14.5	16.9	17.1	19.6	16.2	16.8

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.17,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.14,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.15,0	88.8%
DET 94, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.63,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.54,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	88.0%
CHI 116, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.72,0.71,0.47,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.04,0	88.0%