NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	4.4 [956]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +20.0%
Houston Rockets	81		Comeback	1.1 [601]		LVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): -10.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.03	0.02	14	81%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.01	11	79%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	73%	0.09	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	15	52%	0.01	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.04	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	18	38%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	25.3	16.5	26.6	2.4	27.2	125.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.7%

HOU -1.9%

HOU -0.1%

MEM +2.2%

MEM +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	17.8	17.1	15.6	112.0	98.8	104.4
season	17.1	16.1		103.5	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.7		101.4	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.8	18.4	17.5	18.4	17.8
HOU	18.4	16.7	16.8	16.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	67	66	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-3	18	17.7	18.2	-0.59	17.5	15.6	1.88
Pau Gasol	68	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-8	28	17.9	17.3	0.53	18.0	13.5	4.49
Bobby Jackson	42	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	17.4	18.2	-0.84	15.3	18.9	-3.53
Lorenzen Wright	48	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	3	6	18.4	16.9	1.58	15.9	18.7	-2.88
Chucky Atkins	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	4	4	18.1	17.4	0.69	18.0	16.1	1.87
Jake Tsakalidis	29	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	7	-2	17.4	18.0	-0.60	18.6	16.3	2.31
Mike Miller	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	9	-6	17.4	18.5	-1.10	16.1	19.1	-3.05
Eddie Jones	46	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.05	4	8	-4	18.1	17.4	0.66	18.3	15.7	2.56
Hakim Warrick	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	18	-24	17.2	17.8	-0.58	15.5	17.3	-1.81
Dahntay Jones	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	18	-24	17.0	17.8	-0.84	15.5	17.3	-1.81

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	29	29	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-17	22	16.5	17.5	-0.95	18.2	17.5	0.67
Charles Hayes	32	33	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-17	22	16.5	17.6	-1.09	18.2	17.5	0.73
Rick Brunson	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-9	6	14.2	17.4	-3.20	17.3	17.8	-0.53
Luther Head	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-11	10	16.0	19.2	-3.26	17.4	18.4	-1.04
Stromile Swift	36	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-3	-6	15.9	18.1	-2.17	16.2	19.1	-2.93
Dikembe Mutombo	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	18.8	15.8	2.96	18.7	17.1	1.58
David Wesley	30	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	0	-12	18.8	16.2	2.63	18.0	17.6	0.32
Rafer Alston	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	17.4	14.2	3.20	17.8	17.3	0.53
Keith Bogans	52	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	4	-20	17.7	16.2	1.53	17.8	17.7	0.05
Juwan Howard	59	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.17	-15	3	-18	17.2	16.9	0.31	18.0	17.2	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0	94.9%
SAS 97, VAN 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%
DAL 92, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%