NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	96		Excitement	7.5 [344]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +20.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	88		Comeback	2.1 [332]		LVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): -19.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	7	62%	0.17	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.02	7	71%	0.16	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.03	12	53%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Lorenzen Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.09	0.02	11	45%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	45%	0.03	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.01	8	67%	0.20	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	10	61%	0.17	4	-0.13	8	62%	0.02
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	19	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	12	21%	-0.11	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	31.0	15.5	25.4	1.7	41.3	138.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.9%

MEM +7.6%

CHA -5.1%

MEM +16.7%

MEM +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	17.0	14.9	15.6	106.7	96.7	104.4
season	17.1	14.8		103.5	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	17.0	15.4	18.5	17.0
CHA	15.6	16.5	13.4	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-6	20	16.4	19.6	-3.23	14.9	14.8	0.05
Mike Miller	58	57	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-2	12	16.2	18.3	-2.14	15.5	13.9	1.57
Pau Gasol	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-2	12	16.6	18.7	-2.12	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Chucky Atkins	59	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-1	10	16.1	18.5	-2.41	14.2	16.1	-1.81
Shane Battier	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	8	-8	17.4	16.1	1.25	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Lorenzen Wright	38	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	5	-2	18.3	16.0	2.34	15.0	14.8	0.24
Bobby Jackson	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	9	-10	18.5	16.1	2.41	16.1	14.2	1.81
Hakim Warrick	6	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	7	-6	19.8	16.8	3.07	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Jake Tsakalidis	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	8	-8	17.1	16.9	0.20	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Dahntay Jones	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	11	-14	18.0	16.9	1.15	15.7	14.8	0.93
Brian Cardinal	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	11	-14	18.0	16.9	1.15	15.7	14.8	0.93

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	14.9	14.8	0.08	17.3	16.3	0.98
Kevin Burleson	10	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-6	4	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.4	17.2	-2.84
Melvin Ely	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-4	0	16.0	14.0	2.02	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Jake Voskuhl	37	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	15.3	14.6	0.77	17.1	16.9	0.19
Primoz Brezec	52	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.3	15.6	-1.31	16.9	17.0	-0.06
Gerald Wallace	73	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	14.5	16.6	-2.10	16.7	17.8	-1.11
Matt Carroll	48	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.5	0.76	17.3	16.6	0.78
Raymond Felton	81	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.3	0.64	17.2	14.4	2.84
Jumaine Jones	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	2	-12	14.5	15.5	-1.00	16.7	17.5	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 114, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.05,0,0	92.8%
NYK 80, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.16,0.05,0	92.6%
DEN 105, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	92.5%