NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	73		Excitement	3.3 [1153]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +13.9%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.5 [999]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -12.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	12	44%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	12	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	8	87%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	44%	-0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.05	15	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.0	28.3	18.7	30.8	2.7	32.3	141.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.5%

IND -1.4%

DET +11.4%

DET +12.1%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	17.1	15.6	80.2	107.7	104.4
season	16.0	16.9		102.3	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.7	14.9	13.7	14.5
DET	18.2	18.6	15.7	16.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-30	35	11.9	14.8	-2.92	15.2	17.4	-2.17
Danny Granger	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-21	17	13.9	14.8	-0.95	15.5	17.9	-2.42
Sarunas Jasikevicius	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-23	21	13.6	15.5	-1.82	15.8	18.6	-2.75
Austin Croshere	50	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-13	1	13.8	15.3	-1.50	15.5	19.0	-3.45
Fred Jones	53	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.20	-16	-9	-7	13.8	15.5	-1.73	15.2	19.6	-4.39
Jeff Foster	46	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-11	-3	15.2	13.8	1.33	18.9	15.1	3.82
Peja Stojakovic	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.43	-26	1	-27	15.5	12.8	2.62	18.0	15.6	2.44
Stephen Jackson	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-13	1	14.8	14.0	0.84	18.6	14.9	3.76
Jermaine O'Neal	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	-4	-17	14.7	14.1	0.56	17.5	16.3	1.24
Anthony Johnson	44	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.29	-23	-2	-21	15.5	13.6	1.82	18.6	15.8	2.75

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	4	17	18.6	15.4	3.16	14.9	14.1	0.83
Ben Wallace	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.45	30	-5	35	16.7	18.2	-1.54	14.7	14.0	0.76
Tayshaun Prince	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.29	23	2	21	18.7	15.4	3.25	15.2	13.7	1.55
Rasheed Wallace	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	11	3	18.5	15.3	3.18	15.2	13.7	1.50
Tony Delk	42	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	11	3	17.6	16.7	0.86	14.5	14.5	0.01
Richard Hamilton	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	14	-3	16.7	17.6	-0.86	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.27	16	9	7	17.0	17.2	-0.18	14.5	14.5	0.01
Maurice Evans	32	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	22	-19	15.9	17.8	-1.94	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Lindsey Hunter	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	21	-17	15.4	18.6	-3.16	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Carlos Delfino	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	14.1	17.5	-3.46	12.8	14.7	-1.93
Dale Davis	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	15.2	17.4	-2.17	11.9	14.8	-2.92
Kelvin Cato	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	15.2	17.4	-2.17	11.9	14.8	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NJN 81, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 74, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1	96.4%