inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 81 Excitement3.2 [1113] MVPGlenn Robinson (MIL): +18.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 115 Comeback1.3 [1045] LVPSherman Douglas (NJN): -7.2%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Johnny Newman0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.070.00-0.10642%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.02650%0.0300.00250%0.00
Aaron Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.011058%0.0200.00450%-0.00
Keith Van Horn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.031262%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.021553%0.032-0.02450%-0.01
Evan Eschmeyer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.03633%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.041345%0.033-0.07367%-0.01
Lucious Harris-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Sherman Douglas-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.16-0.01-0.11817%-0.023-0.06250%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.040.031881%0.243-0.057100%0.02
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02688%0.0520.005100%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.02-0.031343%0.0500.002100%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001457%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02767%0.0400.004100%0.01
Mark Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011100%0.0200.002100%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02560%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01462%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.000.05844%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game19.71.827.215.725.32.427.2119.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +22.2%
MIL +9.7%
MIL +4.4%
MIL +13.0%
MIL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMILNBANJNMILNBA
this game14.815.615.585.3122.3100.9
season15.514.997.8105.9
opponent15.815.1102.3103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN14.517.214.313.414.8
MIL16.214.115.716.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Eschmeyer1717-0.00-0.500.500.21-7-272012.615.3-2.6615.615.7-0.07
Vladimir Stepania3334-0.12-0.380.260.29-14-20614.215.2-0.9516.015.50.50
Sherman Douglas3940-0.13-0.370.240.28-14-20615.214.60.5516.115.30.79
Johnny Newman4646-0.16-0.340.190.23-13-21814.714.9-0.1816.315.01.33
Aaron Williams5047-0.24-0.260.010.37-21-13-815.514.01.5016.015.30.70
Lucious Harris6563-0.29-0.21-0.070.15-15-19414.715.0-0.2915.915.20.73
Stephen Jackson5454-0.35-0.15-0.200.33-23-11-1215.114.50.5615.016.5-1.44
Keith Van Horn5756-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-18215.214.30.9515.316.2-0.94
Kenyon Martin5151-0.38-0.12-0.250.30-23-11-1214.615.1-0.5315.615.7-0.00
Stephon Marbury6362-0.47-0.03-0.440.23-24-10-1414.814.9-0.1115.116.8-1.72

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Cassell57580.440.060.37-0.152014614.517.5-2.9915.413.91.54
Ray Allen62630.410.090.31-0.182014615.715.60.0414.814.9-0.16
Glenn Robinson67680.370.130.24-0.2822121016.014.71.3314.914.70.13
Scott Williams44430.340.160.18-0.131618-215.016.2-1.1814.615.0-0.46
Tim Thomas43450.270.230.04-0.522772015.915.40.4815.214.50.62
Ervin Johnson37390.200.30-0.10-0.151222-1016.215.30.8516.213.92.33
Mark Pope42420.180.32-0.14-0.02727-2015.116.1-1.0014.215.4-1.19
Lindsey Hunter46460.150.35-0.19-0.351717016.714.62.0514.814.9-0.05
Jason Caffey24240.140.36-0.21-0.271420-615.715.60.0816.214.41.90
Joel Przybilla19180.000.50-0.50-0.18628-2216.315.50.8412.815.3-2.53
Rafer Alston17170.000.50-0.50-0.21727-2015.615.7-0.0712.615.3-2.66
Jerome Kersey12120.000.50-0.50-0.06232-3015.715.60.0213.015.1-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 78, SAS 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ORL 92, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
IND 73, DET 980.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%