NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	8.3 [221]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): +22.1%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	4.0 [223]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -25.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.22	0.05	0.19	0.02	15	57%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.07	-0.03	14	59%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	15	50%	0.07	5	-0.21	8	87%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	17	29%	-0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.13	0.14	0.15	-0.01	0.01	17	74%	0.35	4	-0.21	9	78%	0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	13	54%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.07	0.02	16	28%	-0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	26.5	16.4	29.0	1.7	36.4	136.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +0.1%

CHA +0.6%

CHA +44.4%

CHA +5.6%

TOR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.6	98.9	91.7	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		100.5	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		110.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.4	16.5	15.0	14.6	15.1
TOR	13.8	16.2	13.8	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	79	82	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.28	15	-9	24	14.8	16.7	-1.90	15.2	13.9	1.32
Gerald Wallace	71	73	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-4	14	14.9	15.6	-0.70	15.5	13.7	1.84
Jumaine Jones	63	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-3	12	15.0	15.4	-0.41	15.4	14.4	0.97
Primoz Brezec	72	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-3	12	15.4	14.1	1.34	15.4	14.0	1.41
Raymond Felton	85	84	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	15.2	14.1	1.12	15.5	11.8	3.68
Melvin Ely	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	6	-6	14.0	15.7	-1.71	13.1	16.0	-2.89
Matt Carroll	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	15.2	15.1	0.17	12.8	15.6	-2.84
Alan Anderson	34	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	13	-20	15.6	14.8	0.84	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Jake Voskuhl	18	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	13	-20	16.7	14.7	1.93	15.2	15.0	0.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	41	40	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.10	6	-12	18	15.7	14.6	1.06	16.0	14.4	1.63
Pape Sow	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-4	2	13.9	15.7	-1.72	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Andre Barrett	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-5	4	14.6	15.3	-0.73	17.1	14.1	2.95
Jose Calderon	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-8	10	16.8	14.4	2.36	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Joey Graham	48	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	3	-12	14.1	16.0	-1.98	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Matt Bonner	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	15.7	13.9	1.72	15.5	14.4	1.13
Morris Peterson	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	15.3	13.1	2.18	14.7	18.7	-3.93
Mike James	96	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.1	0.0	15.05	15.1	0.0	15.11
Charlie Villanueva	55	55	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.42	-12	6	-18	14.6	15.7	-1.06	14.4	16.0	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	91.9%
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	91.4%
BOS 92, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.02,0	91.1%