NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	11.6 [29]		MVP	Kirk Snyder (NOK): +41.8%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	114		Comeback	4.0 [489]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -31.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.09,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.47,0.33	0.04	0.28	-0.01	15	59%	0.49	3	-0.16	7	100%	0.10
Mike Dunleavy	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	59%	0.13	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	4	56%	0.12	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	92%	0.11	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	62%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	0.04	-0.20	0.01	21	49%	-0.02	1	-0.15	7	71%	-0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.42	0.42	0.10	0.30	-0.02	6	92%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	-0.01	16	54%	0.28	1	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.15	0.02	14	38%	-0.21	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.24	0.01	15	47%	-0.05	4	-0.26	6	83%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	27.2	14.7	30.2	2.6	35.7	0.8	16.2	155.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -35.7%

NOK +12.6%

NOK +37.7%

NOK +41.6%

GSW -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOK	NBA	GSW	NOK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	106.9	112.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.3		102.9	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	14.5	15.6	15.7	13.8	14.0	14.8
NOK	14.9	17.1	15.6	17.5	19.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	46	44	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.11	6	-11	17	13.5	15.9	-2.31	16.6	16.5	0.16
Zarko Cabarkapa	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-4	3	19.7	14.4	5.36	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Jason Richardson	87	84	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-3	1	14.8	15.1	-0.37	17.0	14.3	2.68
Ike Diogu	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	17.1	13.8	3.23	13.8	17.7	-3.97
Adonal Foyle	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.5	15.4	-0.86	17.5	14.6	2.85
Mickael Pietrus	49	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	1	-7	15.6	14.1	1.46	16.0	17.1	-1.06
Mike Dunleavy	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	2	-9	14.8	14.7	0.14	17.6	13.0	4.62
Troy Murphy	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-2	-1	14.2	16.1	-1.91	15.8	18.1	-2.34
Derek Fisher	74	73	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.69	-6	1	-7	14.5	15.6	-1.14	16.2	17.4	-1.25

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	19	18	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.48	11	-6	17	16.0	16.6	-0.65	13.4	15.1	-1.66
David West	69	72	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.69	2	3	-1	16.8	15.9	0.86	14.0	16.8	-2.77
Aaron Williams	39	42	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-8	21	15.8	17.0	-1.19	16.3	13.8	2.46
Chris Paul	90	91	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	4	-3	16.6	15.9	0.69	14.4	18.6	-4.28
Speedy Claxton	59	58	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	0	5	15.9	17.4	-1.47	15.3	14.1	1.23
Rasual Butler	94	93	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	4	-3	16.4	18.1	-1.74	14.7	16.4	-1.79
Brandon Bass	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	15.8	16.6	-0.80	20.1	14.2	5.86
J.R. Smith	17	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	3	-1	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.5	14.5	2.05
Marc Jackson	60	58	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	16.4	16.7	-0.23	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Linton Johnson	40	40	-0.72	1.22	-1.95	-0.37	-12	17	-29	17.7	15.7	2.03	14.7	14.9	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.78,0.72,0.5,0.47,0.64,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.29,1	87.2%
CHI 100, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.73,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.58,1	87.1%
DET 87, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.28,1	86.9%