inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement10.8 [42] MVPJermaine O'Neal (IND): +14.4%
Indiana Pacers 93 Comeback4.5 [386] LVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): -26.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Damon Jones-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.001553%0.082-0.09250%-0.01
Michael Doleac-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01475%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.04-0.0330%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.060.00533%-0.1000.002100%0.01
Eddie Jones-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.07-0.011239%-0.1000.004100%0.05
Dwyane Wade-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.19,-0.10.05-0.150.002460%-0.032-0.071580%0.06
Udonis Haslem-0.270,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.15-0.13-0.011137%-0.133-0.14862%-0.05

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.23,0.140.14-0.020.16-0.012352%0.232-0.091090%0.14
Reggie Miller0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.050.011564%0.1400.006100%0.05
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.04-0.00380%0.0700.00450%-0.03
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.030.03-0.020.03-0.02837%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.011541%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.12-0.02744%-0.112-0.042100%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.07-0.01425%-0.073-0.0800%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.03-0.0140%-0.084-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.430.315.824.52.536.32.413.3151.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +40.9%
MIA -2.2%
IND +4.7%
MIA -0.7%
IND +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game15.817.915.595.898.9104.0
season15.716.8107.9101.9
opponent15.515.5101.6101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.916.514.617.013.815.8
IND14.817.019.019.023.817.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac37370.38-0.881.250.119-112015.715.8-0.1717.118.4-1.28
Damon Jones7776-0.17-0.330.16-0.418-101815.218.3-3.0817.618.9-1.24
Malik Allen1817-0.18-0.320.130.05-86-1417.115.51.5815.418.4-3.09
Rasual Butler1415-0.19-0.310.120.01-75-1215.015.9-0.9118.917.71.17
Wang Zhi-zhi1312-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-75-1218.215.42.8420.417.52.90
Udonis Haslem8282-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.415-71215.418.2-2.8417.520.4-2.90
Dwyane Wade8282-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.394-61015.716.5-0.7917.619.8-2.24
Eddie Jones8179-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.456-81416.113.92.1718.415.13.35
Keyon Dooling1818-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-108-1818.315.23.0818.917.61.24
Shandon Anderson5352-0.960.46-1.42-0.67-108-1815.316.4-1.0818.617.01.64

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Miller73710.61-0.110.720.64-13-418.814.74.0816.114.91.15
Stephen Jackson70700.500.000.490.355-3817.718.3-0.6015.815.80.03
Fred Jones49530.460.040.430.296-41017.518.3-0.8215.915.60.37
Austin Croshere59590.390.110.280.3320218.217.40.8215.616.1-0.49
Anthony Johnson48480.330.170.170.195-3818.317.50.7914.816.7-1.91
Jermaine O'Neal73740.230.27-0.050.40-68-1418.216.91.2616.015.00.94
James Jones10120.210.29-0.070.104-2616.818.0-1.2115.315.8-0.51
Jeff Foster1817-0.010.51-0.520.02-13-415.918.3-2.4015.915.70.20
David Harrison3435-0.010.51-0.53-0.103-1417.318.2-0.9215.416.0-0.55
Jamaal Tinsley3636-0.210.71-0.92-0.01-79-1617.118.4-1.2516.515.31.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.29,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 106, MIN 1120.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.58,188.3%
HOU 106, LAL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.29,0.73,188.1%
LAC 112, POR 1160.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.76,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.58,188.1%