NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	3.6 [1106]		MVP	Caron Butler (WAS): +22.1%
Washington Wizards	110		Comeback	1.9 [904]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -2.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.01	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	19	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	60%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.03	0.02	14	83%	0.26	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.04	0.04	19	77%	0.25	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	14	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.8	15.0	27.1	2.5	29.5	126.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.5%

DET -4.1%

WAS +4.1%

WAS +2.6%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.6	102.2	122.2	104.4
season	16.9	15.1		108.3	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.5	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	15.1	16.6	17.1	15.8
WAS	15.3	16.2	17.7	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	32	31	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-20	22	16.2	15.6	0.60	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Jason Maxiell	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	14.4	16.0	-1.67	19.0	15.8	3.23
Dale Davis	16	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-22	26	13.5	16.3	-2.84	17.7	15.8	1.90
Tony Delk	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-17	16	14.9	16.7	-1.73	16.5	15.9	0.54
Lindsey Hunter	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-12	6	18.0	15.7	2.32	14.0	16.3	-2.35
Ben Wallace	62	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-10	2	15.6	16.3	-0.71	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Carlos Delfino	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-13	8	15.2	16.0	-0.83	17.4	15.7	1.70
Tayshaun Prince	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-8	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.51	16.4	15.9	0.51
Rasheed Wallace	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	-2	-14	16.2	14.8	1.44	15.7	17.4	-1.71
Chauncey Billups	68	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-6	-6	15.5	17.0	-1.48	16.3	15.7	0.63
Richard Hamilton	53	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	4	-26	17.0	14.1	2.93	15.5	17.2	-1.74
Antonio McDyess	27	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	3	-24	17.3	15.2	2.14	15.3	16.5	-1.24

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	81	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.18	26	-8	34	15.8	19.6	-3.77	16.1	13.2	2.90
Caron Butler	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	3	12	15.9	17.1	-1.17	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Etan Thomas	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	-3	24	15.9	16.5	-0.63	16.9	14.7	2.19
Antawn Jamison	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	0	18	15.8	16.9	-1.15	16.5	14.6	1.81
Gilbert Arenas	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.18	20	-2	22	15.9	17.2	-1.24	16.5	12.3	4.20
Donell Taylor	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	12	-6	16.1	16.2	-0.05	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Calvin Booth	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	16	-14	18.2	16.0	2.29	15.1	15.9	-0.75
Brendan Haywood	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	21	-24	15.9	16.3	-0.41	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Andray Blatche	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	20	-22	19.1	15.9	3.23	11.5	16.3	-4.76
Michael Ruffin	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	23	-28	18.2	15.7	2.48	12.7	16.5	-3.83
Awvee Storey	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	20.0	15.9	4.11	11.6	16.1	-4.48
Billy Thomas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	19.4	16.0	3.42	11.6	16.1	-4.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, DEN 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 80, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 79, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%