inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 108 Excitement4.9 [862] MVPGreg Buckner (DEN): +20.7%
Toronto Raptors 97 Comeback1.2 [561] LVPMorris Peterson (TOR): -16.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Buckner0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.140.06-0.001177%0.2100.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.020.01978%0.1200.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00470%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Ruben Patterson0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.041068%0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Francisco Elson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01753%0.042-0.031100%0.00
Earl Boykins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.031753%0.071-0.0600%0.00
Howard Eisley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Andre Miller-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.010.041455%0.043-0.061479%-0.00
Reggie Evans-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.011450%0.0700.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.00856%0.0200.002100%0.01
Pape Sow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.040.012258%0.062-0.041100%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.001150%0.031-0.021471%0.01
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.040.101745%-0.122-0.051050%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.728.116.526.32.833.2133.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +54.1%
TOR -1.6%
DEN +6.3%
TOR -9.2%
DEN +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENTORNBADENTORNBA
this game16.016.215.6122.7106.6104.4
season14.415.6103.5107.3
opponent15.415.9110.5103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.317.317.615.916.0
TOR16.516.217.514.716.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller79820.54-0.040.580.0716-52115.322.1-6.8516.414.22.20
DerMarr Johnson36360.50-0.000.500.1213-21517.714.82.8815.916.4-0.53
Greg Buckner54560.430.070.360.1792717.513.54.0214.918.2-3.28
Earl Boykins49490.360.140.210.06101917.913.64.3115.017.7-2.71
Eduardo Najera34340.340.160.180.0892717.515.02.5516.116.3-0.19
Reggie Evans71730.230.27-0.030.1247-316.016.0-0.0416.116.6-0.43
Francisco Elson23260.060.44-0.380.12-213-1513.017.0-4.0219.215.04.23
Carmelo Anthony38400.040.46-0.420.04011-1114.117.4-3.3717.615.12.44
Howard Eisley220.000.50-0.500.03-112-137.516.2-8.6614.016.3-2.26
Linas Kleiza220.000.50-0.500.03-112-137.516.2-8.6614.016.3-2.26
Ruben Patterson5255-0.000.50-0.500.06-213-1514.817.7-2.8816.415.90.53

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrick Martin99-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-131512.216.6-4.4213.416.3-2.81
Pape Sow1615-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-10915.116.4-1.3217.215.71.49
Joey Graham1414-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-10913.816.6-2.8614.516.2-1.74
Jose Calderon3636-0.10-0.400.29-0.05-2-9714.017.7-3.7016.915.31.56
Eric Williams2523-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-7318.715.33.4612.617.2-4.55
Chris Bosh8481-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-8-3-516.315.11.1515.916.4-0.50
Matt Bonner6161-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-9-2-715.417.8-2.3217.013.53.53
Charlie Villanueva5551-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-110-1117.713.93.8816.115.70.41
Mike James6664-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.17-9-2-717.014.03.0515.716.8-1.14
Morris Peterson8986-0.500.00-0.50-0.15-121-1316.314.02.2616.27.58.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 99, TOR 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,095.1%
MIA 111, PHI 830.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
MIL 96, PHI 800.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%