NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	88		Excitement	8.1 [249]		MVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): +16.7%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	5.6 [360]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -25.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.13	0.19	-0.04	0.01	26	65%	0.26	2	-0.13	8	50%	-0.05
Andris Biedrins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Troy Murphy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Ike Diogu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	7	12%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	22	35%	-0.18	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.00	17	55%	0.25	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	11	50%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	8	72%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	19	49%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	50%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	14	33%	-0.03	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	29.5	16.6	27.3	2.4	39.6	144.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.8%

HOU +23.0%

GSW -6.9%

GSW -12.1%

HOU +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	15.6	90.7	94.8	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		102.9	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.5		101.4	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	14.1	16.9	13.1	14.3
HOU	16.0	16.5	13.8	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	56	55	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	13.6	15.3	-1.63	15.7	15.3	0.40
Andris Biedrins	36	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-7	11	15.0	13.9	1.11	14.0	16.5	-2.43
Zarko Cabarkapa	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.3	0.18	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Ike Diogu	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	5	-13	14.4	14.3	0.06	18.0	15.1	2.87
Adonal Foyle	41	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-4	5	13.8	14.7	-0.99	17.1	14.4	2.71
Monta Ellis	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-6	9	15.3	13.6	1.70	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Troy Murphy	74	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-4	5	14.1	15.0	-0.88	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Mickael Pietrus	47	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	6	-15	14.1	14.6	-0.52	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Jason Richardson	83	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.57	3	-6	9	14.4	14.1	0.30	15.7	14.6	1.09
Derek Fisher	86	86	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.53	-9	6	-15	14.5	12.6	1.91	15.3	17.1	-1.76

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	56	58	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-4	11	15.2	15.9	-0.69	14.8	13.6	1.19
Keith Bogans	81	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-5	13	15.8	14.1	1.72	14.6	12.8	1.81
Juwan Howard	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-6	15	15.6	15.3	0.32	14.8	12.6	2.18
Yao Ming	75	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	0	3	15.4	15.9	-0.49	14.2	14.7	-0.47
David Wesley	69	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	4	-5	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Ryan Bowen	2	1	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.16	-2	5	-7	12.0	15.6	-3.60	0.0	14.5	-14.48
Rafer Alston	72	70	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	15.5	15.6	-0.08	14.3	14.5	-0.26
Dikembe Mutombo	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	1	1	15.5	15.5	0.04	14.7	14.2	0.47
Jon Barry	10	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	8	-13	17.4	15.3	2.10	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Charles Hayes	18	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	10	-17	16.1	15.4	0.66	13.3	14.6	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.52,0.78,0.77,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 88, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.77,0.96,1	90.2%
POR 81, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.39,0.71,0.9,0.96,1	89.7%
GSW 108, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	89.7%