NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	3.0 [1200]		MVP	Scott Padgett (NJN): +8.4%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.5 [974]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -8.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.08	5	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Jackie Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.02	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Channing Frye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	13	53%	-0.01	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	14	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	5	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	31.2	15.5	27.3	2.6	35.2	141.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +44.1%

NJN +6.0%

NYK -4.1%

NJN +7.5%

NYK -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.6	91.2	106.7	104.4
season	15.7	15.7		102.1	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	18.0	17.5	12.0	15.7
NJN	16.3	14.0	15.2	18.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-16	19	16.5	15.6	0.91	17.6	15.9	1.78
Maurice Taylor	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-15	17	15.8	15.7	0.03	13.0	16.4	-3.42
David Lee	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-22	31	10.4	17.0	-6.56	18.3	15.5	2.75
Jackie Butler	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-18	23	13.2	17.1	-3.87	17.0	15.6	1.38
Jamal Crawford	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-14	15	14.8	17.2	-2.35	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Eddy Curry	35	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-4	-5	18.3	14.1	4.22	15.3	16.5	-1.15
Qyntel Woods	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-12	11	15.5	16.3	-0.83	17.0	14.0	2.97
Nate Robinson	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-10	7	15.2	16.3	-1.04	17.5	14.6	2.91
Malik Rose	17	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	1	-15	15.8	15.7	0.09	14.6	16.4	-1.76
Quentin Richardson	40	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	4	-21	18.0	14.0	4.02	14.2	17.5	-3.30
Jalen Rose	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	6	-25	16.0	15.2	0.83	15.6	17.3	-1.66
Channing Frye	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	9	-31	16.6	13.6	2.96	15.8	16.8	-0.97

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	52	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-7	27	14.9	17.6	-2.69	17.8	12.9	4.85
Richard Jefferson	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-4	21	15.6	17.6	-2.06	16.7	13.0	3.68
Vince Carter	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-4	21	15.0	18.3	-3.34	17.3	12.5	4.74
Jason Collins	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-4	21	14.9	17.3	-2.42	17.2	14.4	2.78
Jason Kidd	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	0	13	14.9	17.9	-3.01	16.2	15.1	1.17
Antoine Wright	39	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	10	-7	17.5	15.0	2.44	13.8	17.4	-3.58
Jacque Vaughn	35	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	13	-13	17.9	14.9	3.01	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Clifford Robinson	32	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	8	-3	16.3	15.9	0.36	16.9	15.1	1.87
Scott Padgett	29	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	17.5	15.4	2.07	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Zoran Planinic	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	19.7	15.5	4.22	8.3	16.9	-8.54
Marc Jackson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	24	-35	19.7	15.5	4.22	8.8	16.9	-8.05
Lamond Murray	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	18.1	15.9	2.26	9.1	16.5	-7.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
SAC 89, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
VAN 73, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%