NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	73		Excitement	3.5 [1069]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +2.9%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.8 [744]		LVP	George Lynch (VAN): -8.3%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	7	14%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	14	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	11	36%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	15	45%	0.02	3	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	7	44%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	12	48%	0.02	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	18	59%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	27.2	15.7	27.1	1.7	24.2	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.5%

CHI +7.8%

CHI +15.1%

CHI +9.3%

CHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	CHI	NBA	VAN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	15.6	77.7	102.1	104.4
season	16.3	15.5		97.9	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.5		99.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	18.5	13.2	18.4	16.0	16.4
CHI	12.0	15.6	15.1	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	12.6	16.9	-4.30	14.2	14.2	0.05
Lawrence Moten	28	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-20	17	15.9	16.7	-0.72	13.3	14.6	-1.29
Lee Mayberry	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-13	3	16.4	16.5	-0.13	14.7	13.9	0.81
Eric Mobley	35	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	-8	-7	19.8	14.4	5.40	13.9	14.3	-0.40
George Lynch	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-10	-3	15.9	16.8	-0.90	15.1	13.7	1.43
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-14	5	17.9	14.2	3.66	13.6	15.2	-1.70
Roy Rogers	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-16	9	14.5	18.2	-3.74	15.7	12.7	3.01
Greg Anthony	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-10	-3	16.5	16.4	0.13	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Bryant Reeves	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-7	-9	16.7	15.7	1.03	13.4	16.4	-3.07
Blue Edwards	39	39	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	-5	-13	14.7	17.7	-2.94	15.9	13.0	2.85
Anthony Peeler	57	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-7	-9	16.6	16.2	0.45	13.5	15.2	-1.67

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	4	15	14.3	14.0	0.34	16.5	16.2	0.35
Michael Jordan	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.26	24	-1	25	13.9	14.8	-0.93	17.9	13.9	3.97
Dennis Rodman	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.31	24	-1	25	14.1	14.5	-0.40	16.9	15.1	1.76
Luc Longley	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	12	-1	13.4	15.3	-1.91	16.6	16.2	0.42
Toni Kukoc	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	10	3	14.7	13.7	0.95	16.2	16.7	-0.51
Steve Kerr	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	11	1	15.3	13.4	1.91	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Randy Brown	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	16	-9	14.7	13.8	0.90	13.6	18.7	-5.09
Bill Wennington	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.20	11	12	-1	13.7	14.3	-0.58	17.8	16.1	1.73
Ron Harper	44	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	20	-17	13.7	14.7	-1.02	17.4	15.5	1.93
Jud Buechler	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	14.8	14.1	0.69	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Dickey Simpkins	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	14.2	14.2	0.05	12.6	16.9	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DET 93, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	97.0%
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%