NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	8.4 [209]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +27.7%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	2.9 [260]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -22.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.28	0.02	0.20	-0.06	12	68%	0.42	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.03
Rashad McCants	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	9	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	14	68%	0.26	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	11	60%	0.18	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Justin Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	77%	0.08	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	49%	0.04	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.16	-0.03	10	67%	0.27	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	13	68%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	19	63%	0.19	5	-0.16	11	100%	0.07
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.18	-0.03	16	38%	-0.16	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	29.9	14.8	28.0	2.6	28.9	130.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +85.0%

PHX -6.2%

MIN +5.3%

PHX -29.1%

PHX -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.6	106.2	104.1	104.4
season	16.1	13.8		101.0	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.9		105.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.1	13.9	15.9	16.6	14.5
PHX	15.6	13.8	14.7	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	64	65	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-12	26	15.1	13.3	1.87	15.8	13.9	1.86
Rashad McCants	58	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-8	18	14.9	13.8	1.10	15.2	15.1	0.10
Mark Madsen	45	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-6	14	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.1	14.4	1.73
Ricky Davis	87	89	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.50	-5	7	-12	14.7	12.8	1.90	14.9	18.4	-3.48
Trenton Hassell	83	84	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.44	-6	8	-14	14.4	15.1	-0.75	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Justin Reed	22	20	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-7	16	15.6	14.2	1.40	15.6	15.1	0.52
Kevin Garnett	79	79	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.42	-9	11	-20	14.0	16.8	-2.79	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Mark Blount	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	13.0	14.8	-1.76	15.6	15.1	0.45
Anthony Carter	33	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	14	-26	13.3	15.1	-1.87	13.9	15.8	-1.86

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	78	76	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.38	15	-17	32	14.8	16.8	-1.99	14.5	14.4	0.16
James Jones	55	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.6	1.08	15.3	13.5	1.87
Kurt Thomas	47	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-6	10	16.5	14.0	2.49	14.6	14.4	0.14
Boris Diaw	72	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	2	-6	14.5	17.2	-2.77	14.0	16.0	-1.96
Raja Bell	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-4	6	15.0	16.0	-0.96	14.9	12.4	2.55
Shawn Marion	91	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-4	6	15.1	17.2	-2.11	14.3	17.0	-2.66
Leandro Barbosa	41	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	5	-12	14.9	15.4	-0.45	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Eddie House	19	21	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	15	-32	16.8	14.8	1.99	14.4	14.5	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.61,0.47,0.45,0.16,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, GSW 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.25,0.04,0	91.3%
SEA 102, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.01,0	90.0%
NYK 85, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.09,0.16,0	90.0%