NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	114		Excitement	7.8 [289]		MVP	Gary Payton (MIA): +32.9%
Miami Heat	118		Comeback	2.3 [769]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): -10.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.01	20	66%	0.27	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.21,0.21,0.2	-0.00	0.17	-0.03	11	60%	0.32	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.05
Cuttino Mobley	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	18	74%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.20	0.00	13	73%	0.36	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.12	0.01	11	77%	0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.11	0.04	19	56%	0.21	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.03
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.01	4	91%	0.18	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	13	58%	0.19	4	-0.07	17	53%	-0.11
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	74%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	3	83%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Fitch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	35.3	16.7	29.2	2.5	40.5	153.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +26.3%

MIA +8.7%

MIA +2.0%

MIA +11.2%

MIA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	15.6	118.8	124.2	104.4
season	15.2	15.5		103.9	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	16.9	17.1	12.9	14.9
MIA	14.3	14.4	15.6	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	55	54	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-11	18	14.3	15.8	-1.45	15.7	14.5	1.23
Chris Kaman	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.6	14.4	2.29	14.6	15.4	-0.87
Elton Brand	86	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-5	6	14.5	18.8	-4.30	15.4	13.8	1.58
Boniface N'Dong	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	0	-4	16.6	14.8	1.83	14.1	15.3	-1.19
Shaun Livingston	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-6	8	16.2	14.3	1.95	15.6	15.0	0.59
Quinton Ross	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	2	-8	14.5	15.2	-0.74	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Sam Cassell	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	3	-10	15.0	14.9	0.03	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Cuttino Mobley	91	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	1	-6	14.8	18.2	-3.43	15.3	14.2	1.07
James Singleton	79	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.6	0.44	15.0	16.1	-1.04

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	82	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-2	8	15.1	15.8	-0.74	14.6	17.2	-2.64
James Posey	87	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	15.6	11.1	4.46	14.7	17.6	-2.83
Dwyane Wade	88	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-1	6	15.0	17.7	-2.70	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Udonis Haslem	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	-1	6	14.7	16.1	-1.48	14.0	16.5	-2.51
Alonzo Mourning	19	21	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	3	-2	14.6	15.4	-0.79	17.5	14.2	3.30
Gerald Fitch	16	16	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	3	-2	15.7	15.1	0.57	15.5	14.8	0.66
Shaquille O'Neal	75	74	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	3	-2	15.5	14.0	1.47	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Antoine Walker	48	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	6	-8	15.4	15.1	0.29	16.7	13.2	3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.55,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,1	90.5%
CLE 93, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.83,1	90.2%
NJN 92, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	89.9%