NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	78		Excitement	3.5 [1128]		MVP	David Wesley (HOU): +8.9%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.3 [1034]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -8.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	6	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Burleson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.06	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	11	36%	0.01	4	-0.05	6	33%	-0.01
Bernard Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	13	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	25	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	14	57%	-0.04
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.04	4	85%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	10	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	28.3	16.3	31.3	2.0	30.0	135.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +16.5%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +18.8%

HOU +6.3%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	17.3	15.6	87.6	114.6	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		100.5	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.4		101.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	15.2	15.2	14.1	15.0
HOU	19.4	16.8	15.5	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	42	41	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-27	30	13.3	16.6	-3.29	17.8	16.9	0.86
Kevin Burleson	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-20	16	14.0	15.4	-1.43	17.9	17.1	0.77
Jake Voskuhl	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.15	-8	-16	8	14.6	15.3	-0.67	16.0	18.0	-2.02
Matt Carroll	54	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-16	8	14.2	16.3	-2.09	17.7	16.8	0.90
Bernard Robinson	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-10	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.12	17.6	17.1	0.53
Melvin Ely	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-13	2	14.9	15.2	-0.24	18.1	16.3	1.84
Brevin Knight	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-8	-8	15.3	14.5	0.86	16.8	18.2	-1.40
Jumaine Jones	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.19	-21	-3	-18	16.0	12.2	3.87	17.5	16.8	0.72
Raymond Felton	43	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	-3	-18	16.0	14.1	1.94	17.2	17.4	-0.26
Primoz Brezec	45	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	-4	-16	15.8	14.2	1.57	16.4	18.3	-1.82

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-2	28	16.8	19.0	-2.17	15.3	13.9	1.40
Rafer Alston	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.14	17	7	10	17.8	15.5	2.27	14.8	15.9	-1.15
Tracy McGrady	55	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	10	4	16.6	18.4	-1.78	15.1	14.9	0.22
Luther Head	43	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	14	-4	18.2	16.5	1.64	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Juwan Howard	51	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	13	-2	16.6	18.3	-1.66	15.5	14.5	0.99
Lonny Baxter	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	8	8	18.0	16.6	1.40	15.4	14.6	0.85
Dikembe Mutombo	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	12	0	16.2	17.8	-1.62	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Charles Hayes	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	15	-6	18.0	16.4	1.65	14.6	15.7	-1.13
John Lucas III	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	19	-14	16.9	17.5	-0.54	15.0	15.1	-0.06
Moochie Norris	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	19.6	17.2	2.42	12.0	15.3	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 71, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 94, TOR 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHI 98, DAL 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%