NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	4.4 [958]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +15.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.2 [498]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -19.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.00	-0.00	15	66%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	23	56%	0.15	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
James Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	15	57%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.09	19	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	18	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	54%	0.02	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.07	-0.04	9	20%	-0.07	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	31.4	16.3	23.6	2.5	30.6	133.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.8%

PHX +10.6%

LAC -8.8%

PHX +15.7%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.6	117.9	107.4	104.4
season	13.8	15.2		110.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	13.4	14.3	18.9	14.7
LAC	16.6	15.4	15.1	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	-3	16	14.3	16.0	-1.66	15.1	17.8	-2.68
Shawn Marion	89	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	2	6	14.8	12.8	1.96	15.6	15.6	0.08
Leandro Barbosa	59	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-2	14	14.4	15.1	-0.75	14.8	16.8	-1.96
Steve Nash	77	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	3	4	14.6	15.1	-0.47	15.4	16.9	-1.54
Raja Bell	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	12	-14	15.0	13.9	1.16	14.7	18.0	-3.29
James Jones	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	15.1	14.3	0.82	17.8	14.0	3.81
Boris Diaw	49	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	5	0	14.4	14.9	-0.46	16.8	14.2	2.58
Eddie House	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	7	-4	15.1	14.6	0.47	16.9	15.4	1.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-13	16	16.0	15.5	0.50	16.9	13.5	3.43
Yaroslav Korolev	4	3	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-3	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.15	10.7	14.8	-4.14
Cuttino Mobley	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-12	14	15.5	15.8	-0.26	15.6	13.3	2.22
Quinton Ross	58	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	14.6	17.2	-2.62	14.8	14.4	0.42
Sam Cassell	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-8	6	15.1	17.1	-2.00	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Chris Kaman	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	15.6	15.8	-0.15	14.0	16.7	-2.73
Daniel Ewing	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	16.9	14.5	2.37	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Shaun Livingston	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	2	-14	16.7	14.1	2.66	14.5	14.9	-0.34
Elton Brand	81	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	2	-14	15.4	17.1	-1.76	14.5	16.1	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 114, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
SAS 90, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.9%
CHI 113, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%