NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	114		Excitement	7.5 [333]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +30.4%
Sacramento Kings	118		Comeback	1.5 [919]		LVP	Brian Skinner (SAC): -11.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	16	64%	0.21	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.05
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	21	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Boniface N'Dong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.05	-0.02	13	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,-0.08	0.02	-0.11	-0.00	19	58%	0.08	5	-0.16	10	100%	0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.16	0.16	0.02	18	73%	0.39	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.06
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	11	77%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	77%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	18	63%	0.23	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	6	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	51%	0.04	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.0	32.2	16.5	26.3	2.5	37.5	142.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +72.0%

SAC +1.4%

LAC -4.5%

LAC -19.7%

SAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	15.6	112.9	115.7	104.4
season	15.2	15.3		103.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	12.7	15.3	16.7	14.9
SAC	13.3	12.6	13.0	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	4	4	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-8	12	14.0	14.9	-0.93	14.2	13.5	0.79
Chris Kaman	82	83	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.32	13	-17	30	14.1	18.4	-4.35	13.7	12.6	1.06
Yaroslav Korolev	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	12.5	15.1	-2.60	14.0	13.4	0.55
Boniface N'Dong	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	2	-8	16.5	14.7	1.79	9.7	13.9	-4.20
Daniel Ewing	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-7	10	15.6	13.9	1.73	13.0	14.2	-1.14
Shaun Livingston	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	0	-4	16.1	14.2	1.85	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Sam Cassell	82	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-3	2	14.2	18.1	-3.89	13.4	13.9	-0.56
Walter McCarty	9	9	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	4	-12	18.9	14.5	4.39	14.9	13.4	1.53
Quinton Ross	35	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.9	0.04	14.8	12.9	1.92
Cuttino Mobley	85	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	15.1	13.7	1.43	13.3	14.3	-0.99
Elton Brand	95	96	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.36	-10	6	-16	14.8	16.2	-1.36	13.6	11.7	1.94

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	88	86	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-8	20	13.3	14.9	-1.67	15.2	12.9	2.38
Brian Skinner	42	40	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-7	18	14.4	12.8	1.55	15.3	14.6	0.64
Jason Hart	41	41	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	14.2	13.0	1.18	15.3	14.6	0.68
Mike Bibby	84	84	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	7	-10	13.6	12.9	0.66	15.0	14.6	0.36
Kevin Martin	80	79	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	3	-2	13.7	12.6	1.09	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Brad Miller	96	95	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	7	-10	13.4	14.5	-1.07	14.3	23.7	-9.33
Corliss Williamson	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	11.7	14.0	-2.24	15.0	14.9	0.14
Francisco Garcia	20	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	2	0	11.4	14.0	-2.60	14.9	14.9	0.07
Kenny Thomas	38	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	13	-22	13.7	13.3	0.39	14.8	14.9	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	93.8%
DET 77, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%
IND 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	92.9%