NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	109		Excitement	3.9 [1060]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +16.5%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.0 [628]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -9.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.03	8	100%	0.24	6	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.04	10	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	9	43%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	19	49%	0.09	5	-0.09	17	88%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	4	18%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	0.00	0.10	10	91%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	64%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	17	55%	0.09	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	48%	0.00	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	44%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	24%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	29.1	15.7	30.2	2.3	33.6	139.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +45.6%

NJN +5.0%

NYK -10.9%

NJN +10.3%

NJN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	13.5	15.6	114.7	106.3	104.4
season	15.7	15.7		102.1	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.7	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	15.5	17.0	18.7	16.8
NYK	16.0	12.7	15.0	10.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-4	16	16.7	17.1	-0.36	14.0	11.0	2.95
Jason Kidd	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	16.2	18.3	-2.05	14.0	12.4	1.56
Jason Collins	64	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-8	24	16.5	17.3	-0.77	14.2	12.4	1.77
Richard Jefferson	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	1	6	16.7	17.1	-0.43	13.3	14.8	-1.49
Nenad Krstic	46	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-3	14	16.2	17.3	-1.07	15.2	12.1	3.06
Clifford Robinson	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	14	-20	17.8	15.6	2.21	12.3	15.0	-2.72
Lamond Murray	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	9	-10	16.5	16.9	-0.33	12.6	14.0	-1.33
Scott Padgett	30	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	15	-22	16.9	16.7	0.24	12.5	14.1	-1.58
Jacque Vaughn	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	12	-16	18.3	16.2	2.05	12.4	14.0	-1.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-9	10	11.9	13.8	-1.87	14.3	17.2	-2.85
Maurice Taylor	23	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-10	12	12.9	13.8	-0.89	18.5	16.3	2.25
Nate Robinson	39	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-10	12	12.8	14.1	-1.28	18.1	15.8	2.34
Qyntel Woods	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	11.9	14.0	-2.09	14.5	17.4	-2.87
Antonio Davis	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	0	-8	16.6	12.5	4.14	16.4	16.9	-0.50
Jerome James	24	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	1	-10	16.7	12.5	4.23	16.2	17.0	-0.83
Eddy Curry	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-6	4	12.2	14.3	-2.10	17.6	16.4	1.20
Channing Frye	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-10	12	12.7	16.3	-3.55	16.9	16.3	0.59
Jamal Crawford	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-9	10	12.4	16.7	-4.33	17.2	15.7	1.44
Trevor Ariza	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	5	-18	15.6	12.4	3.22	15.5	17.5	-1.93
Quentin Richardson	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	13.7	13.2	0.56	17.3	15.7	1.54
Stephon Marbury	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	14.3	12.1	2.28	16.1	18.0	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	96.1%
NJN 106, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%