NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	9.4 [110]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +21.8%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	5.7 [149]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -35.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.01	20	55%	0.27	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Gilbert Arenas	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.17	0.18	0.02	0.02	24	71%	0.38	5	-0.21	10	50%	-0.22
Chucky Atkins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	4	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	19	50%	0.00	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	17	63%	0.30	2	-0.09	9	78%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.02	12	67%	0.18	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.10
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	15	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.36	-0.36	-0.03	-0.33	0.00	7	50%	-0.26	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	27.5	15.6	23.3	2.7	37.8	131.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.7%

PHX -8.3%

WAS +43.1%

PHX -28.4%

WAS +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	13.5	15.6	116.7	114.4	104.4
season	15.1	13.8		107.4	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		105.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	16.4	17.0	17.8	16.4
PHX	13.2	12.4	15.0	13.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	55	55	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-7	15	15.7	17.3	-1.60	13.3	13.7	-0.41
Gilbert Arenas	86	90	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.48	9	-8	17	16.0	19.4	-3.40	13.4	14.4	-1.00
Antawn Jamison	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-5	11	16.1	17.9	-1.76	13.9	11.4	2.49
Caron Butler	88	90	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	16.4	16.1	0.25	13.5	14.0	-0.53
Chucky Atkins	19	17	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-6	13	16.8	16.2	0.54	12.8	13.7	-0.90
Calvin Booth	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	15.8	16.4	-0.59	17.7	12.9	4.84
Jared Jeffries	65	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	9	-17	16.4	16.2	0.19	12.8	14.9	-2.05
Antonio Daniels	37	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	14	-27	17.6	15.6	2.02	14.1	13.1	0.99
Michael Ruffin	35	34	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.09	-11	12	-23	17.4	15.8	1.60	12.5	14.0	-1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	39	39	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-2	3	14.5	12.9	1.60	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Pat Burke	19	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-3	5	12.4	13.8	-1.41	15.6	16.5	-0.98
Jim Jackson	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-3	5	12.8	13.6	-0.83	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Kurt Thomas	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-4	7	12.9	14.1	-1.25	16.5	16.2	0.30
James Jones	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-6	11	13.2	14.5	-1.35	16.8	14.6	2.22
Raja Bell	87	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	0	-1	13.6	12.9	0.67	16.4	16.1	0.28
Boris Diaw	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	5	-11	14.3	12.7	1.60	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Shawn Marion	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	0	-1	13.7	12.8	0.83	16.6	15.5	1.03
Steve Nash	73	72	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.55	-10	9	-19	13.4	13.9	-0.49	16.0	17.4	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.65,0.53,0.19,0.36,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.19,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.6%
NYK 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.54,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.05,0	91.5%
DET 102, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.05,0.04,0	91.2%